A Regression Discontinuity Test of Strategic Voting and Duverger's Law

Fujiwara, Thomas

doi:10.1561/100.00010037

Cited by 137 publications

(71 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…25 The overrepresentation of whites is especially striking in the North and Northeast regions. 26 To explain the descriptive overrepresentation of whites, it is thus especially important to examine settings like Salvador, the capital of the Northeastern state of Bahia, where non-whites constitute a substantial majority of the population-but a substantial minority of politicians.…”

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confidence: 99%

Race, Resources, and Representation: Evidence from Brazilian Politicians

Bueno¹,

Dunning²

2014

SSRN Journal

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Typescript prepared by the Authors and Anna-Mari Vesterinen. Terms of use: Documents inThe United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research provides economic analysis and policy advice with the aim of promoting sustainable and equitable development. The Institute began operations in 1985 in Helsinki, Finland, as the first research and training centre of the United Nations University. Today it is a unique blend of think tank, research institute, and UN agency-providing a range of services from policy advice to governments as well as freely available original research.The Institute is funded through income from an endowment fund with additional contributions to its work programme from Denmark, Finland, Sweden, and the United Kingdom.Katajanokanlaituri 6 B, 00160 Helsinki, FinlandThe views expressed in this paper are those of the author(s), and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Institute or the United Nations University, nor the programme/project donors. Abstract:What explains the persistence of racial or ethnic inequalities in political representation, in the absence of strongly politicized racial or ethnic cleavages? This paper uses new data to demonstrate a substantial racial gap between voters and politicians in Brazil. We show that this disparity is not plausibly due to racial preferences in the electorate-for instance, deference towards white candidates, or discrimination against non-whites. Nor do barriers to candidate entry or discrimination by party leaders likely explain the gap. Instead, we document the importance of persistent resource disparities between whites and non-whites-especially, differences in personal assets and in campaign contributions. Our findings show how the power of numerical racial minorities may persist in democracies, even in the absence of racialized politics, and highlight the role of investments by economic elites in a setting in which race and class substantially overlap.

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Race, Resources, and Representation: Evidence from Brazilian Politicians

Bueno¹,

Dunning²

2014

SSRN Journal

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“…Notable examples includeFujiwara (2011), Gerber et al (2011,Eggers and Hainmueller (2010), andHainmueller and Kern (2008).…”

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Resource disparity and multi-level elections in competitive authoritarian regimes: Regression discontinuity evidence from Hong Kong

Wong

2014

Electoral Studies

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“…These transfers are related to budget items that involve the construction of buildings and bridges, the paving of 9 See Fujiwara (2011) for an analysis of the effects of the electoral rule in Brazilian municipalities. 10 The allocation mechanism of FPM tranfers (which corresponds to 75% of federal transfers) depends on the population size and the state in which the municipality is located.…”

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What Happens When a Woman Wins a Close Election? Evidence from Brazil

Brollo

Troiano

2012

SSRN Journal

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This paper studies the effect of women's leadership on policy outcomes in close races utilizing a rich dataset on Brazilian municipalities. We provide evidence that cities with female mayors have better health outcomes (prenatal visits and percentage of premature births), are awarded more federal discretionary transfers, and are less likely to have administrative irregularities in public procurement practices. Despite these results, male mayors are 20 percentage points more likely to be re-elected than female mayors. We discuss several interpretations of our results, including the role of political patronage and re-election incentives. We find that men are more likely to hire temporary public employees during the electoral year compared to their female counterparts. This effect is driven by incumbents who are eligible for re-election. * Fernanda Brollo, fernanda.brollo@ua.es, Ugo Troiano, troiano@fas.harvard.edu .We thank Larry Katz for initial encouragement and for comments. We wish to thank

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A Regression Discontinuity Test of Strategic Voting and Duverger's Law

Cited by 137 publications

References 33 publications

Race, Resources, and Representation: Evidence from Brazilian Politicians

Race, Resources, and Representation: Evidence from Brazilian Politicians

Resource disparity and multi-level elections in competitive authoritarian regimes: Regression discontinuity evidence from Hong Kong

What Happens When a Woman Wins a Close Election? Evidence from Brazil

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