A recurring anarchy? The emergence of climate change as a threat to international peace and security

Brown, Oli; McLeman, Robert

doi:10.1080/14678800903142680

Cited by 23 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 43 publications

(16 reference statements)

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“…If in coming decades climate change renders low‐lying coastal plains and small island states less suitable for human habitation as is expected, the need to develop relocation programs would inevitably exert significant force on global and regional policy priorities. Indeed, such potentialities are already featuring more frequently in international security discussions 60–63. Climate‐migration considerations may also be expected to particularly influence priority‐setting within policy‐making domains such as agriculture, gender equity, health, international development, and critical resource management, given their inherent linkages to adaptive capacity and adaptive migration.…”

Section: Dimensions Of Climate Migrationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Migration in the context of vulnerability and adaptation to climate change: insights from analogues

McLeman

Hunter

2010

WIREs Climate Change

218

163

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Migration is one of the variety of ways by which human populations adapt to environmental changes. The study of migration in the context of anthropogenic climate change is often approached using the concept of vulnerability and its key functional elements: exposure, system sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. This article explores the interaction of climate change and vulnerability through review of case studies of dry-season migration in the West African Sahel, hurricane-related population displacements in the Caribbean basin, winter migration of ‘snowbirds’ to the US Sun-belt, and 1930s drought migration on the North American Great Plains. These examples are then used as analogues for identifying general causal, temporal, and spatial dimensions of climate migration, along with potential considerations for policy-making and future research needs.

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Section: Dimensions Of Climate Migrationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Migration in the context of vulnerability and adaptation to climate change: insights from analogues

McLeman

Hunter

2010

WIREs Climate Change

218

163

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“…El Niño events) relate to conflicts in practice (Koubi et al, 2013). Expanding climate conflict research to incorporate knowledge of contextual vulnerability processes and directionality does not require great conceptual or analytical stretching (Brown and McLeman, 2009). As has been echoed in the environmental security and vulnerability literature, locational climate conflict and vulnerability share similar structural determinants: poverty, fractured social and political structures, and resource depletion (Adger et al, 2013).…”

Section: Portrayals Of Vulnerability Across Climate Conflict Discoursmentioning

confidence: 92%

“…-International security threat Climate change is likely to cause planetary upheavals (Brown and McLeman, 2009). -Ecological security threat Climate change will accelerate (negative) systematic structural change in people-biosphere relationship, and undermine moral obligation humans have to preserve plants, animal species and other living beings (McDonald, 2013).…”

Section: Context Centrismmentioning

confidence: 99%

Perspectives on contextual vulnerability in discourses of climate conflict

2016

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Abstract. The science of climate security and conflict is replete with controversies. Yet the increasing vulnerability of politically fragile countries to the security consequences of climate change is widely acknowledged. Although climate conflict reflects a continuum of conditional forces that coalesce around the notion of vulnerability, how different portrayals of vulnerability influence the discursive formation of climate conflict relations remains an exceptional but under-researched issue. This paper combines a systematic discourse analysis with a vulnerability interpretation diagnostic tool to explore (i) how discourses of climate conflict are constructed and represented, (ii) how vulnerability is communicated across discourse lines, and (iii) the strength of contextual vulnerability against a deterministic narrative of scarcity-induced conflict, such as that pertaining to land. Systematically characterising climate conflict discourses based on the central issues constructed, assumptions about mechanistic relationships, implicit normative judgements and vulnerability portrayals, provides a useful way of understanding where discourses differ. While discourses show a wide range of opinions "for" and "against" climate conflict relations, engagement with vulnerability has been less pronounced -except for the dominant context centrism discourse concerned about human security (particularly in Africa). In exploring this discourse, we observe an increasing sense of contextual vulnerability that is oriented towards a concern for complexity rather than predictability. The article concludes by illustrating that a turn towards contextual vulnerability thinking will help advance a constructivist theory-informed climate conflict scholarship that recognises historicity, specificity, and variability as crucial elements of contextual totalities of any area affected by climate conflict.

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“…Brown and McLeman argue on this basis that only in 'extreme scenarios' can climate change be considered a determining factor leading to conflict and instability. 86 …”

Section: Climate Change and State Securitymentioning

confidence: 97%

UN Security Council: playing a role in the international climate change regime?

Cousins

2013

Global Change, Peace & Security

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A recurring anarchy? The emergence of climate change as a threat to international peace and security

Cited by 23 publications

References 43 publications

Migration in the context of vulnerability and adaptation to climate change: insights from analogues

Migration in the context of vulnerability and adaptation to climate change: insights from analogues

Perspectives on contextual vulnerability in discourses of climate conflict

UN Security Council: playing a role in the international climate change regime?

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