A probabilistic model for the dynamics of cascading failures and blackouts in power grids

Rahnamay-Naeini, Mahshid; Wang, Zhuoyao; Mammoli, Andrea; Hayat, Majeed M.

doi:10.1109/pesgm.2012.6345574

Cited by 28 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 13 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…In the past two decades, researchers have exerted considerable efforts in modeling and understanding cascading failures in power systems. Among such efforts is the class of probabilistic models [2], [4]- [5] [6] [7]. However, many of the existing probabilistic models suffer from a disconnect between the parameters of the abstract models they employ and the physical and operating characteristics of the system.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Stochastic Analysis of Cascading-Failure Dynamics in Power Grids

Rahnamay-Naeini

Wang

Ghani

et al. 2014

IEEE Trans. Power Syst.

136

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Stochastic Analysis of Cascading-Failure Dynamics in Power Grids

Rahnamay-Naeini

Wang

Ghani

et al. 2014

IEEE Trans. Power Syst.

136

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Among such works is the category of probabilistic models, which, for instance, include models based on branching processes [3], Markov chains [4], [5], regeneration theory [6], and so forth. For instance, in [6] we developed a scalable probabilistic approach based on regeneration theory and a reduced state space of the power grid to model the dynamics of cascading failures in time. The transition rates among the states of the model are defined to be state and age dependent, and their functional forms are calculated empirically from power-system simulations.…”

Section: Section II Related Workmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This proves the general case in Theorem 1. Based on the structure of the presented IDMC model, there are three special cases that the coefficients do not follow the general case presented in (6). This is because certain states do not have all the previous states that we used in the derivation of the above difference equations.…”

Section: Appendix Proof Of Theoremmentioning

confidence: 99%

Cascading Failures in Interdependent Infrastructures: An Interdependent Markov-Chain Approach

Rahnamay-Naeini

Hayat

2016

IEEE Trans. Smart Grid

102

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…There are a lot of actual cases demonstrating the feasibility of this approach. For example, in [18], the author simulated a cascading failure by using an IEEE 118-bus model in MATPOWER (MATLAB Power System Simulation Package). Assuming that ineffective communication related to the uncontrolled load, the model of coupling communication and power system is simplified as a pure power system with the coefficient load, which means the load multiplies the controllable ratio under the failures of communication.…”

Section: B Modeling On Single Simulation Toolmentioning

confidence: 99%

Reviews and perspectives of hybrid system simulation for power and communication

Tong

et al. 2014

The 4th Annual IEEE International Conference on Cyber Technology in Automation, Control and Intelligent

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

With the extensive integration of the power and communication system, the power system gets more and more impact from communication latency, bit errors or breakout. Thus the study on hybrid system simulation for power and communication becomes more popular all over the world. This paper gives an overview of the current research projects in U.S. and Europe, and some developed simulation tools and models. Then, several methodologies of research and simulators are introduced, including Petri Nets model, modeling on single simulator, embedded simulator for hybrid system simulation, co-simulation with communication network simulator and power simulator, and Hardware-in-loop Simulation (HILS). In the end, the perspectives and challenges of hybrid system simulation are pointed out and the procedure of our research work in this field is introduced.Index Terms-Hybrid system simulation; co-simulation; power system; communication network I. INTRODUCTIONITH the integration of power and communication system, power system increasingly depends on the supporting from the communication system. Some failures in the communication system may cause serious blackout in power system. One clear case of blackout happened in Hydro-Québec system, where "load was lost when a special protection system experienced a single point failure in the supporting communications system" [1]. Moreover, both the development of Smart Grid and the interaction between customer and power provider, require an even stronger communication system. So that researching the impact of communication with a complex topology on the transmission grid and distribution network by simulation attracts more and more attention, whereas the research on hybrid system simulation is still a big challenge due to the lack of proper models and tools.For reference, this paper introduces some off-the-shelf simulation tools for interdependency research and methodologies of co-simulation models and tools, and the rest of this paper is as follows. Section II reviews the research projects in U.S. and Europe, and some existing off-the-shelf simulation tools. Section III introduces some methods of hybrid system simulation for power and communication. Finally, the summary and the progress of our project are by the governments, such as European Project CRUTIAL (Critical Utility Infrastructural Resilience), which aims to the power and information infrastructure in different topologies and threats. Both qualitative and quantitative models have been developed to study the resiliency of power control systems for the present threats to their information and communication infrastructures, and the interaction between power and information infrastructure for a new class of automation systems and devices [6]. Another project (IRRIIS: Integrated Risk Reduction of Information-based Infrastructure Systems) dedicated to the interdependency analysis and modeling for the future communication and power infrastructure in 2015 [6]. In this project, SimCIP (Simulation for CI Protection) and an agent-based simul...

show abstract

A probabilistic model for the dynamics of cascading failures and blackouts in power grids

Cited by 28 publications

References 13 publications

Stochastic Analysis of Cascading-Failure Dynamics in Power Grids

Stochastic Analysis of Cascading-Failure Dynamics in Power Grids

Cascading Failures in Interdependent Infrastructures: An Interdependent Markov-Chain Approach

Reviews and perspectives of hybrid system simulation for power and communication

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About