A new risk evaluation method for oil storage tank zones based on the theory of two types of hazards

Kang, Jian; Liang, Wei; Zhang, Laibin; Lu, Zhong; Liu, Detian; Yin, Wenzhu; Zhang, Guizan

doi:10.1016/j.jlp.2014.03.007

Cited by 27 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 19 publications

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“…In a word, the literature investigation showed that there are a few studies focusing on safety related risk or risk-based decision-making of petroleum industry, and they mainly concentrated on risk analysis, risk assessment, and prediction in microscopic aspects such as drilling and blowout, while the researches in the macro-aspect are almost focused on the monitoring, predicting, and early warning of operation risk about oilfield enterprise [24][25][26]. However, they are seldom concerned with risk problem of oilfield block development from the point of microcosmic perspective and control.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Method of Oilfield Development Risk Forecasting and Early Warning Using Revised Bayesian Network

Zhong

Liu

Lin

et al. 2016

Mathematical Problems in Engineering

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Oilfield development aiming at crude oil production is an extremely complex process, which involves many uncertain risk factors affecting oil output. Thus, risk prediction and early warning about oilfield development may insure operating and managing oilfields efficiently to meet the oil production plan of the country and sustainable development of oilfields. However, scholars and practitioners in the all world are seldom concerned with the risk problem of oilfield block development. The early warning index system of blocks development which includes the monitoring index and planning index was refined and formulated on the basis of researching and analyzing the theory of risk forecasting and early warning as well as the oilfield development. Based on the indexes of warning situation predicted by neural network, the method dividing the interval of warning degrees was presented by “3σ” rule; and a new method about forecasting and early warning of risk was proposed by introducing neural network to Bayesian networks. Case study shows that the results obtained in this paper are right and helpful to the management of oilfield development risk.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Method of Oilfield Development Risk Forecasting and Early Warning Using Revised Bayesian Network

Zhong

Liu

Lin

et al. 2016

Mathematical Problems in Engineering

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“…The relationship between the factor set and the evaluation factor is expressed by the membership function based on the fuzzy relation matrix (Kang, et al,2014(Kang, et al, & 2016. We programmed the software of calculating the Fuzzy Evaluation Method.…”

Section: Results Of the Fuzzy Evaluation (1) Membership Function And mentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of the safety barrier function: Accidents caused by the failure of safety barriers and quantitative evaluation of their performance

Kang

Zhang

Gao

2016

Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries

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“…In this regard, the initial attempts were made to visit the operations and interviews on drilling operations were prepared. Then, experts' views on how to dispose wastewater by FTA method were investigated (Nouri Gharahasanlou et al 2014;Kang et al 2014). Finally, a method based on FTA was proposed to solve the problem (Liu et al 2014).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Developing an appropriate mathematical model for the environmental risk assessment of jack-up drilling rigs (case study: South Pars field, Iran)

Safy

Moharamnejad

Danehkar

et al. 2015

Int. J. Environ. Sci. Technol.

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Identifying the environmental hazards of jackup drilling rig, which is used as an exploratory drilling and offshore service platform, yet has been under intense discussion. Risk assessment along with determining the likelihood of an event occurrence and the severity of its consequences can be a useful tool for identifying the priorities and making satisfactory managerial decisions. In this study, the environmental risks attributed to jack-ups in the offshore area of Iran around the South Pars gas field were studied, and finally a new mathematical model for the environmental risk assessment in this area was presented. Due to qualitative nature of some indefinite factors, fuzzy logic was applied in this model. Moreover, the model design was tailored to the ecological and environmental conditions of South Pars gas field, and several sources of risk were aggregated for the final environmental risk assessment of jack-up drilling rig. The results indicated that the total risk calculated for jack-up in transportation was tolerable and limited management measures were required. However, for the jack-up operation risks, the site was found to be faced with ''unacceptable risk'' or requiring extensive management measures.

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A new risk evaluation method for oil storage tank zones based on the theory of two types of hazards

Cited by 27 publications

References 19 publications

The Method of Oilfield Development Risk Forecasting and Early Warning Using Revised Bayesian Network

The Method of Oilfield Development Risk Forecasting and Early Warning Using Revised Bayesian Network

Analysis of the safety barrier function: Accidents caused by the failure of safety barriers and quantitative evaluation of their performance

Developing an appropriate mathematical model for the environmental risk assessment of jack-up drilling rigs (case study: South Pars field, Iran)

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