A new integrated methodology for characterizing and assessing suitable areas for viticulture: A case study in Northwest Spain

Río, Sara del; Álvarez-Esteban, Ramón; Redondo, Raquel Alonso; Hidalgo, Cristina; Penas, Ángel

doi:10.1016/j.eja.2021.126391

Cited by 7 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 58 publications

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“…Soil provides nutrients and plentiful mineral elements for vines, affecting the composition of grape berries and wine characteristics (e.g., potassium concentrations and titratable acidity) [26,27]. Recently, soil variables combining traditional climate indices have been used to select the best predictors characterizing the vineyards to assess suitable areas in Spain, and the results confirmed that the compensated thermicity index and continentality index, as well as soil pH, clay content, capacity, and saturation humidity, are key factors impacting geographical distribution for all the cultivars studied [28]. Additionally, topography, such as altitude, aspect, and slope, indirectly affect grape growth through changing climate and soil conditions [13,29] and should be considered as a supplement to ecological suitability assessment of vineyards as well.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 69%

“…Soil organic carbon is an extremely important component of soil and is closely related to soil fertility. The sand, silt, and clay contents were applied in the previous related research [28,35]; hence, soil texture, as the comprehensive factor of sand, silt, and clay contents, was chosen here. Furthermore, due to irrigation and fertilization in the wine region of Ningxia, soil retention capacity and soil nutrients (e.g., nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium) were not considered.…”

Section: Data Sources and Environment Variablesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…One approach is to evaluate the ecological suitability based on selected environment indicators related to growth and development of grapevine [30][31][32][33][34]. The other approach is to establish a species distribution model combining the actual plantation of grapevine with its habitat variables [3,5,28,35,36], and the latter is more objective compared with the first, minimizing differences caused by diverse research scales [36]. As one of the commonly used species distribution models, the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) based on the principle of maximum entropy [37] has low requirement on the quantity of existing sites and high prediction accuracy [38,39] and is widely used to predict potential suitable areas of species.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…As one of the commonly used species distribution models, the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) based on the principle of maximum entropy [37] has low requirement on the quantity of existing sites and high prediction accuracy [38,39] and is widely used to predict potential suitable areas of species. However, only a few studies assessed the climatic [5,36,40] and ecological suitability [28,35] of wine grape based on MaxEnt model worldwide, mainly considering climate and soil factors. The remote sensing data has high precision in large-scale and long time series.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Viticultural Suitability Analysis Based on Multi-Source Data Highlights Climate-Change-Induced Decrease in Potential Suitable Areas: A Case Analysis in Ningxia, China

et al. 2022

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As a perennial plant with long productive span of 30–50 years, grapevine may experience cross-lifespan climate change, which can modify wine quality and challenge viticultural sustainability. Therefore, it is essential to evaluate the viticultural suitability by considering both current and future climate conditions. To this end, a maximum entropy model was proposed to delimitate potentially suitable areas for viticulture based on multi-source data in a novel wine region, Ningxia, China, considering both current and future climate conditions. Firstly, we combined traditional data of climate, soil, and topography with remote sensing data to screen predictors that best characterize current geographical distribution of vineyards. Then, we used those predictors to assess current suitability (2001–2020) in Ningxia. The results indicated altitude, aridity index during April–September (K0409), precipitation during July–September (P0709), normalized difference vegetation index during July–September (NDVI0709), soil organic carbon (SOC), and precipitation in September (P09) were key predictors to assess potential suitability for viticulture, and their threshold values ranged from 1075 m to 1648 m, 2.93 to 4.83, 103.1 mm to 164.1 mm, 0.1 to 0.89, 0.07 g/kg to 11 g/kg and 28.4 mm to 45.0 mm, respectively. Suitability maps revealed a total suitable area of 12029 km2, among which the highly and moderately suitable areas accounted for 6.1% and 23.1%, respectively. Finally, the alteration in proportion of potential suitable areas due to changing climate was estimated. The potential suitable areas varied from 8742 km2 to 10623 km2 over the next 40 years (2022–2060) and decreased to 8826–9184 km2 under a short-term sustainability (suitable only during current–2040). To further consider long-term and sustainable development of the wine industry (current–2060), total suitable areas dropped by 26.7–29.2% under different climate scenarios compared with current suitable areas (2001–2020). The conclusions provide indispensable guidance for vineyard zoning considering long-term climate change.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 69%

Section: Data Sources and Environment Variablesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Viticultural Suitability Analysis Based on Multi-Source Data Highlights Climate-Change-Induced Decrease in Potential Suitable Areas: A Case Analysis in Ningxia, China

et al. 2022

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“…The application of these models has been done previously to estimate the bioclimatic suitability of Europe for several grape varieties, and its potential change with climate change ( Moriondo et al., 2013 ), using the Random Forests method ( Breiman, 2001 ). More recently, a study focused merely on modeling the Spanish Castille-and-León vinicultural regions’ bioclimatic suitability for several Spanish grape varieties ( del Río et al., 2021 ), considering recent past climatic conditions, using the Maxent method ( Phillips et al., 2006 ). Building on these previous works, ENMs were used to study the bioclimatic suitability of four main wine-producing European countries for twelve main Portuguese grape varieties and their potential change with climate change.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Relocation of bioclimatic suitability of Portuguese grapevine varieties under climate change scenarios

et al. 2023

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IntroductionClimate change has been driving warming trends and changes in precipitation patterns and regimes throughout Europe. Future projections indicate a continuation of these trends in the next decades. This situation is challenging the sustainability of viniculture and, thus, significant efforts towards adaptation should be then carried out by local winegrowers.MethodEcological Niche Models were built, using the ensemble modelling approach, to estimate the bioclimatic suitability of four main wine-producing European countries, namely France, Italy, Portugal, and Spain, in the recent past (1989–2005), for the cultivation of twelve Portuguese grape varieties. The models were then used to project the bioclimatic suitability to two future periods (2021– 2050 and 2051–2080) to better understand the potential shifts related to climate change (modeled after Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios). The models were obtained with the modeling platform BIOMOD2, using four bioclimatic indices, namely the “Huglin Index”, the “Cool Night index”, the “Growing Season Precipitation index”, and the “Temperature Range during Ripening index” as predictor variables, as well as the current locations of the chosen grape varieties in Portugal.ResultsAll models performed with high statistical accuracy (AUC > 0.9) and were able to discriminate several suitable bioclimatic areas for the different grape varieties, in and around where they are currently located but also in other parts of the study area. The distribution of the bioclimatic suitability changed, however, when looking at future projections. For both climatic scenarios, projected bioclimatic suitability suffered a considerable shift to the north of Spain and France. In some cases, bioclimatic suitability also moved towards areas of higher elevation. Portugal and Italy barely retained any of the initially projected varietal areas. These shifts were mainly due to the overall rise in thermal accumulation and lower accumulated precipitation in the southern regions projected for the future.ConclusionEnsemble models of Ecological Niche Models were shown to be valid tools for winegrowers who want to adapt to a changing climate. The long-term sustainability of viniculture in southern Europe will most likely have to go through a process of mitigation of the effects of increasing temperatures and decreasing precipitation.

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An ecological perspective for analysing rural depopulation and abandonment

Lloret,

Escudero,

Lloret

et al. 2024

People and Nature

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Population loss in rural areas is rapidly increasing in high‐income countries, raising concerns and debate, given its socio‐economic consequences. Despite the evident environmental dimension of the phenomenon, ecological knowledge has been neglected in the analysis of actions aiming to reverse rural depopulation. Particularly, cultural landscapes reflect memories of ecological processes that have configured current patterns of biodiversity and ecosystem services. Based on ecological principles, we present a conceptual procedure to assess the behaviour of social–ecological systems subjected to depopulation, projecting their expected trajectories through time within a framework defined jointly by demographic and environmental–ecological dimensions (in our case, biodiversity, carbon storage, pollution control, water resources and soil conservation). We applied this procedure to various alternative interventions designed to confront depopulation in Spain: (1) non‐intervention, (2) maintenance of the historical landscape configuration, (3) active conservation, (4) extensive, sustainable land use and (5) intensified land use. We conclude that extensive, sustainable land use better optimizes criteria of demographic consolidation, environmental impact, resilience and implementation of actions confronting depopulation. We highlight the need to incorporate ecological knowledge into the assessment and application of actions confronting rural depopulation. Read the free Plain Language Summary for this article on the Journal blog.

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A new integrated methodology for characterizing and assessing suitable areas for viticulture: A case study in Northwest Spain

Cited by 7 publications

References 58 publications

Viticultural Suitability Analysis Based on Multi-Source Data Highlights Climate-Change-Induced Decrease in Potential Suitable Areas: A Case Analysis in Ningxia, China

Viticultural Suitability Analysis Based on Multi-Source Data Highlights Climate-Change-Induced Decrease in Potential Suitable Areas: A Case Analysis in Ningxia, China

Relocation of bioclimatic suitability of Portuguese grapevine varieties under climate change scenarios

An ecological perspective for analysing rural depopulation and abandonment

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