2013
DOI: 10.1155/2013/967358
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A Neural Network Model for Driver’s Lane-Changing Trajectory Prediction in Urban Traffic Flow

Abstract: The neural network may learn and incorporate the uncertainties to predict the driver’s lane-changing behavior more accurately. In this paper, we will discuss in detail the effectiveness of Back-Propagation (BP) neural network for prediction of lane-changing trajectory based on the past vehicle data and compare the results between BP neural network model and Elman Network model in terms of the training time and accuracy. Driving simulator data and NGSIM data were processed by a smooth method and then used to va… Show more

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Cited by 55 publications
(42 citation statements)
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“…However, the trajectory reconstruction is an extremely complex and non‐linear problem due to the complicated spatiotemporal variation of the trajectories. Backpropagation (BP) neural networks have been used widely to solve such problems (Chen, Chi, Wang, Pang, & Xiao, ; Ding, Wang, Wang, & Baumann, ; Partsinevelos, Agouris, & Stefanidis, ; Xu, Li, & Claramunt, ). It was demonstrated in previous studies that BP neural networks have the ability to capture non‐linearity, and good prediction capability and flexibility.…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, the trajectory reconstruction is an extremely complex and non‐linear problem due to the complicated spatiotemporal variation of the trajectories. Backpropagation (BP) neural networks have been used widely to solve such problems (Chen, Chi, Wang, Pang, & Xiao, ; Ding, Wang, Wang, & Baumann, ; Partsinevelos, Agouris, & Stefanidis, ; Xu, Li, & Claramunt, ). It was demonstrated in previous studies that BP neural networks have the ability to capture non‐linearity, and good prediction capability and flexibility.…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…(iv) once the winning neuron and its string are determined, (a) a weight update matrix ( ) is computed for that string using the position information according to (7), (8), and (10), (b) the weight update matrix is computed for that string for updating the orientation information according to the new position as in Figure 2;…”
Section: Adaptive Process In Sofmat For a Given Input Patternmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Especially in studies dealing with complex data, ANN is very useful and preferable. The use of ANN has a wide range, such as analyzing seismic signals [6], wind speed forecasting [7], feature prediction in urban traffic flow [8], in sludge bulking [9], and in founding of reference voltage of maximum power point under different atmospheric conditions [10].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…H Zhou et al 11 proposed a method to infer a truck driver's intention of lane change before the maneuver initiation using the information of driver's gaze behavior. C Ding et al 12 provided a method to predict the lane-change trajectory of host vehicle with regard to the vehicle position, speed, acceleration, and the time headway using BP neural network with two hidden layers. Furthermore, host vehicle trajectory can be predicted with the positional relationship between the host vehicle and adjacent vehicles.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%