A Multi-Level Framework for Adaptation to Drought Within Temperate Agriculture

Holman, Ian P.; Hess, Tanja; Rey, Dolores; Knox, JW

doi:10.3389/fenvs.2020.589871

Cited by 25 publications

(40 citation statements)

References 57 publications

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“…A variety of participatory mechanisms already exist to facilitate such collaboration in governing climate adaptation, for example [48,49]. Multi-sector, multi-actor engagement can also support more resilient responses to drought management in agriculture through enhancing human and social capital [50].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Gendered Perspectives on Climate Change Adaptation: A Quest for Social Sustainability in Badlagaree Village, Bangladesh

Hossen

Benson

Hossain

et al. 2021

Water

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Climate change effects cause major socioeconomic challenges for marginalized groups, particularly women, in Bangladesh. Specifically, drought increases resource scarcity, causing social problems that impact women, which can be described as the gendered sociocultural construction of vulnerabilities. Given this constructed dimension of gender-based vulnerability, this paper explores the effects of drought on marginalized women in one local case study, namely Badlagaree village in Gaibandha district, Bangladesh. To examine this linkage, we collected qualitative primary data using ethnographic research methods, primarily focus group discussions. Findings show that gender-based vulnerability is increasing due to growing drought effects, including agricultural production loss. Marginalized women, because of their gender identity, encounter these drought effects through unemployment, food insecurity, illiteracy, early marriage, dowry costs and violence. While further national-scale research is required, this paper argues that in order to overcome such gender-based vulnerability, current development policies, social programs, and adaptation strategies should better recognize such social dynamics. Further, a gender-specific understanding requires incorporation into adaptation policies through greater collaborative governance as an important prerequisite for sustainability.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Gendered Perspectives on Climate Change Adaptation: A Quest for Social Sustainability in Badlagaree Village, Bangladesh

Hossen

Benson

Hossain

et al. 2021

Water

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“…Out of caution, therefore, a priority is to continue developing resilient agricultural systems to emerging climate patterns, as the global demand for wheat and other crops has been projected to double from 2005 to 2050 (Tilman et al, 2011). Further research into robust process-based or AI-informed crop models, alongside improved collaboration across spatial, governance and supply-chain scales (Holman et al, 2021), will be required to help farmers adapt to evolving climate conditions and maintain the security of wheat production.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Resilience of UK crop yields to changing climate extremes

Slater

Huntingford

Pywell

et al. 2021

Preprint

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Abstract. Recent extreme weather events have had severe impacts on UK crop yields, and so there is concern that a greater frequency of extremes could affect crop production in a changing climate. Here we investigate potential future impacts of climate projections on wheat, the most widely grown cereal crop globally, in a temperate country with currently favourable wheat-growing conditions. Past and projected climate conditions are considered for key wheat growth stages (Foundation, Construction and Production). Historically, following the plateau of UK wheat yields since the 1990s, we find there has been a recent significant increase in wheat yield volatility, which is partially explained by seasonal metrics of temperature and precipitation, including mean, extremes, and intra-seasonal variability. Strong associations between climate and yield anomalies occur during years with cumulative climate impacts across growth stages, when climate extremes ‘escape’ the ability of farmers to adapt through agronomic means. We then analyse the latest 2.2 km UK Climate Projections for the UK’s three main wheat-growing regions. Climate projections indicate that on average across the three regions, the Foundation growth stage (broadly 1st October to 9th April) is likely to become warmer and wetter, while the Construction (10th April to 10th June) and Production (11th June to 26th July) stages are likely to become warmer and slightly drier. An analogue approach, comparing historical climate conditions with future climate projections, reveals a mixed picture of future climate conditions for UK crop yields. Projected warmer winter night temperatures are likely to prove beneficial in the Foundation stage, but concurrent increases in heavy rain may be detrimental. Similarly, warmer and drier mean conditions may enhance yields during the Production stage, but increases in high temperatures and heat variability may increase plant stress, while decreases in rainfall may also threaten adequate water supply. Since future climatic conditions are likely to move outside the historically observed range, there may be challenges for agriculture to adapt management practices to realise any potential benefits.

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“…We know from other sources that the agriculture sector was severely hit by the hot and dry weather. During 2018, crops, grass, and feed and livestock were the most impacted areas of farming (Holman et al, 2021). Almost all the reported agricultural impacts were negative: poor crop growth and development led to reduced yields (for both food crops and grassland), and reduced livestock feed availability.…”

Section: Impactsmentioning

confidence: 99%