A model of crop diversification under labor shocks

Cohen, Allegra Argent Beal; Judge, Jasmeet; Muneepeerakul, Rachata; Rangarajan, Anand; Guan, Zhengfei

doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0229774

Cited by 10 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…As foreign competition and domestic challenges such as labor shortages (Bampasidou and Salassi, 2019;Beal Cohen et al, 2020;Guan et al, 2015;Roka and Guan, 2018) and the phase-out of methyl bromide (Cao et al, 2019;Wu et al, 2020) increasingly erode the profitability of US growers, solutions must be found to make the industry viable and competitive. This applies not only to the fresh tomato industry but also to other major fresh produce commodities such as peppers (Biswas et al, 2018) and berries (Suh et al, 2017).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

How trade affects the US produce industry: the case of fresh tomatoes

Guan

et al. 2022

IFAM

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The US produce industry faces intensifying competition from imports, particularly those from Mexico, the largest exporter of produce to the United States. Fresh produce imports from Mexico have grown dramatically in recent years. This study examines the impact of increasing fresh tomato imports from Mexico on market price and revenue of US growers. Results show that tomato prices are highly sensitive to supply, suggesting a saturated market. Imports from Mexico have significant negative impacts on the prices of US domestic tomatoes. A scenario of 50% increase in tomato imports from Mexico could result in a $252 million (27%) revenue loss for American growers, thus posing great challenges to the sustainability of the declining US tomato industry.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

How trade affects the US produce industry: the case of fresh tomatoes

Guan

et al. 2022

IFAM

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“…Simulated Annealing (SA) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) are employed in [24] to address a multi-crop allocation optimization problem. In [25], a crop allocation model is presented to deal with the problem of labor shortage which in turn impacts crop production. A Linear Programming (LP) based optimization model is presented in [26] to address the problem of land allocation for 10 crops.…”

Section: A Crop Planning Modelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The literature discussed in [36]- [43] provides a guideline for sustainable agriculture and through this research, we explore the quality impact of advanced crop allocation on the overall environment. A benchmark table is presented in Table . 1 in which we present contributions of main studies that we followed [21], [25], [33], [34], the limitation of each study and eventually summarize our research. The compared research provides gaps in the development of the crop allocation model, and in research specific to the study area which helps in the identification of the problem statement.…”

Section: Sustainable Agriculturementioning

confidence: 99%

A Decision Support Framework for National Crop Production Planning

Rasheed¹,

Khan

Hassan

et al. 2021

IEEE Access

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This paper proposes a decision support framework for defining planning parameters for national crop production. The proposed framework addresses the gaps in policymaking, the role of all stakeholders, and uses historical data of crop production in different sectors of land in optimizing the profits that shall meet the defined constraints including national requirement, and export demand of different crops. There are many agro-economy-based countries where agriculture is the main contributor to their GDP, while there are others who always struggle to meet their national need while optimizing the agro-economy component of their earnings. Crops are not always produced with keeping the demand and production balance. Rather, the crops are mostly produced according to the farmer's ease and last year's prices for profit maximization leading to excessive production of one type of crop, lowering of profit margins, and shortage of some key crops for national need. This paper presents a decision aiding tool that can be used for farmer's awareness for crop production planning that meets the national and export needs while maximizing farmer's earnings. The model is tested on historical data of different segments of cultivated lands in Pakistan for validation with the first experiment performed on single farmland with multi-fields while the second performed for multi-locations and multi-fields. The results are promising and provide estimates of net profit, expected production against the demand for each crop, and analysis that aids in crop planning, before and after the application of our model while meeting all necessary constraints.

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“…However, the U.S. fruit and vegetable industry has been facing major challenges in production and import competition. In recent years, growers of fruit and vegetables, which are labor-intensive crops, have reported challenges in hiring sufficient farm labor, especially in the peak harvesting months [4][5][6][7]. Moreover, rising labor costs have been trimming down growers' profit margins over the years [8].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The U.S. Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Industry: An Overview of Production and Trade

2022

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The fruit and vegetable industry is an important segment of the U.S. agriculture. The 2017 U.S. Agriculture Census shows that the industry had total sales of USD 48 billion from over 10 million acres of land. However, over the last two decades, production of major fruit and vegetable crops in the United States has been declining while imports have grown significantly. The rapidly growing imports have posed challenges to the sustainability of the U.S. domestic industry. This study provides a systematic industry review of fresh fruit and vegetable production and trade between the United States and Mexico, by far the largest source of U.S. imports, highlighting the structural shift in the market over the last two decades and the caveats for industry sustainability. The analysis shows that Florida, Georgia, and California are among the states that face the strongest competition from Mexico. Among the 10 crops reviewed, berry, tomato, pepper, and cucumber production has been affected the most. The study further discusses the factors driving the rapid growth of imports and shows the importance of innovation and policy reform to the sustainability of the U.S. fruit and vegetable industry.

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A model of crop diversification under labor shocks

Cited by 10 publications

References 30 publications

How trade affects the US produce industry: the case of fresh tomatoes

How trade affects the US produce industry: the case of fresh tomatoes

A Decision Support Framework for National Crop Production Planning

The U.S. Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Industry: An Overview of Production and Trade

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