A methodology for the assessment of nuclear power development scenario

Mohapatra, Dipti; Mohanakrishnan, P.

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2010.03.061

Cited by 9 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…In simple terms, the model is designed to simulate the competition between technologies and energy sources to meet the demand for energy services (that are exogenous to the model, including lighting, heating/cooling requirements, mechanical energy, mobility, among others), with the objective of minimizing the total cost of the system. There are several studies in the literature using MESSAGE that analyze energy mix scenarios for medium and long-term public policies in several countries [74][75][76][77][78] .…”

Section: Figure S6 -Above and Below Ground Biomassmentioning

confidence: 99%

The threat of political bargaining to climate mitigation in Brazil

Soares‐Filho²,

et al. 2018

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Section: Figure S6 -Above and Below Ground Biomassmentioning

confidence: 99%

The threat of political bargaining to climate mitigation in Brazil

Soares‐Filho²,

et al. 2018

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“…e MESSAGE tool was developed by the International Atomic Energy Agency and has been widely used for long-term energy system planning. MESSAGE is based on a dynamic linear programming model to minimize the total system costs and discount all costs occurring at time points later than the base year [43][44][45].…”

Section: Message As An Energy-planning Toolmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…e final energy level of the Saudi Arabia energy system was defined as electricity and other energy forms (e.g., diesel, gasoline, kerosene, HFO, and LPG) produced by the secondary level (e.g., PPs or refineries) and then transferred to the final level (i.e., consumption point) [44]. e final energy level is identified as "4" in Figure 1.…”

Section: Final Energymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In (2), the NPP was assumed to be constructed at the initial time of the project, and the interest during construction was taken into account. e interest during construction (IDC) with nominal discount rates for the capital cost was 2.1% and 2.5% for the decontamination and decommissioning (D&D), respectively, using the following equation [41][42][43][44][45][46][47][48][49][50][51][52][53][54][55][56][57][58]:…”

Section: Levelized Unit Energy Costmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Studies on Optimal Strategy to Adopt Nuclear Power Plants into Saudi Arabian Energy System Using MESSAGE Tool

Esmail

Cheong

2021

Science and Technology of Nuclear Installations

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An optimal long-term electric power strategy for Saudi Arabia to adopt nuclear power was evaluated using the MESSAGE tool. Saudi Arabia is predicted to experience an electricity shortage by 2025 with the present energy system. This electricity shortage could be postponed until 2035 by rehabilitating the existing power plants. The MESSAGE model predicts that adopting a combination of renewable (i.e., solar and wind), advanced traditional power (i.e., gas turbine, steam, and combined cycle), and nuclear technologies is the most competitive future strategy to supply 43.7%, 41.6%, and 3.8%, respectively, of Saudi Arabia’s electricity needs by 2050. This paper proposes an optimal strategy for adopting nuclear power. The nuclear capacity of three scenarios was evaluated: a single APR-1400 nuclear reactor, a single SMART-100 nuclear reactor, and a combination of these two reactors. The results of this study indicate that the highest nuclear capacity was achieved by the combination of the APR-1400 and SMART-100 reactors followed by the single APR-1400 reactor and then the single SMART-100 reactor. However, the single G4ECONS nuclear reactor shows a higher capacity than the single APR-1400 reactor in other evaluated scenarios. The combined reactor strategy may be the most feasible option if the capital cost of a first-of-a-kind SMART-100 reactor is reduced by 62.3%. The cost reductions result from including factors like the time required to build the nuclear power plants in the MESSAGE tool calculation. Also, CO2 taxation will increase nuclear power’s feasibility in the Saudi Arabian energy system. However, the share of renewable energy is predicted to be more affected by the taxation of CO2. In this study, the proposed approach can provide more flexible strategic options for countries embarking on nuclear energy. These flexible strategic options can optimize their national energy mix for long-term planning.

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“…Many researches around the world have considered the application of energy planning tools to investigate the optimality of the national energy plans. These research works include: longterm CO2 emission reductions in UK energy sector [18], the contribution of innovative power generation technologies in GHG mitigation in China [19], an infrastructure for a hydrogenbased transport system in Germany [20], demand response from a microeconomic perspective and future energy system in Denmark [21,22], the role of bioenergy to achieve low-carbon and high-security energy scenarios in Ireland [23,24], the economic impact of gas dependence in power generation in Thailand [25], a sustainable energy plan for Cuba [26], future perspectives of renewable energy in the power-generation sector for UK [27] and Portugal [28], the costs of a low-carbon power supply in Malaysia [29], the impact of nuclear power plants and CCS (carbon capture and storage) on the future structure of energy system in India [30], the United Arab Emirates [31], Brazil [32], and Korea [33].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An overview of energy planning in Iran and transition pathways towards sustainable electricity supply sector

Aryanpur

Atabaki

Marzband

et al. 2019

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews

105

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Despite a substantial potential of renewable energy sources, the current energy supply system in Iran relies almost entirely on fossil fuel resources. It has imposed significant financial burden on the country and has led to considerable GHG emissions. Moreover, the country is confronting several challenges for harnessing alternative clean energy sources and promoting rational energy policies over the recent decades. To probe the root cause of these problems, this paper first provides an overview on the previous energy planning attempts in Iran. It shows that adequate commitment to a long-term energy planning could have meaningfully prevented these serious challenges. However, the previous studies have had some limitations in terms of employing appropriate planning tools, comprehensive evaluations, and scenarios definition and ranking. This paper thus proposes a power planning framework to assess the sustainability of future electricity scenarios for the period 2015-2050. MESSAGE, a systems engineering optimization model, is employed to evaluate the potential impacts of transitioning to a low-carbon electricity supply system. Using a combined AHP-TOPSIS method, the scenarios are then ranked based on 18 different techno-economic, environmental, and social dimensions of sustainability. The results indicate that scenario Cl_32, in which the share of non-hydro clean energy for electricity generation reaches 32%, is ranked best.

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A methodology for the assessment of nuclear power development scenario

Cited by 9 publications

References 9 publications

The threat of political bargaining to climate mitigation in Brazil

The threat of political bargaining to climate mitigation in Brazil

Studies on Optimal Strategy to Adopt Nuclear Power Plants into Saudi Arabian Energy System Using MESSAGE Tool

An overview of energy planning in Iran and transition pathways towards sustainable electricity supply sector

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