IMPORTANCE Data are needed on the potential long-term prognostic association of serum neurofilament light in multiple sclerosis (MS). OBJECTIVE To evaluate serum neurofilament light as a biomarker associated with long-term disease outcomes in clinically isolated syndrome. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This post hoc cohort study used data from the Controlled High-Risk Avonex Multiple Sclerosis Prevention Study, a 36-month, multicenter, placebocontrolled interferon β-1a randomized clinical trial conducted from April 1996 to March 2000, and its long-term (5-and 10-year) extension study from February 2001 to March 2009. Participants included individuals with a symptomatic initial demyelinating event and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) lesions suggestive of MS. Data were analyzed from April 2017 through 2019. EXPOSURE The variable of interest was naturally occurring serum neurofilament light concentration MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Gadolinium-enhancing (Gd +) lesion number, T2 lesion volume, and brain parenchymal fraction, a measure of brain atrophy were measured at baseline and 5 and 10 years. Multivariate regression models evaluated whether age, sex, and baseline covariates, including serum neurofilament light, brain parenchymal fraction, Expanded Disability Status Scale, Gd + lesion count, and T2 lesion volume, were associated with brain parenchymal fraction changes over 5 and 10 years. RESULTS Among 308 included participants (mean [SD] age, 33.2 [7.6] years; 234 [76.0%] women), baseline serum neurofilament light concentrations were associated with Gd + lesions (Spearman r = 0.41; P < .001) and T2 lesion volume (Spearman r = 0.42; P < .001). Among covariates for brain parenchymal fraction change, serum neurofilament light concentration had the greatest correlation with change in brain parenchymal fraction at 5 years