2016
DOI: 10.1093/jme/tjw008
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Habitat Suitability Model for the Distribution ofIxodes scapularis(Acari: Ixodidae) in Minnesota

Abstract: Ixodes scapularis Say, the black-legged tick, is the primary vector in the eastern United States of several pathogens causing human diseases including Lyme disease, anaplasmosis, and babesiosis. Over the past two decades, I. scapularis-borne diseases have increased in incidence as well as geographic distribution. Lyme disease exists in two major foci in the United States, one encompassing northeastern states and the other in the Upper Midwest. Minnesota represents a state with an appreciable increase in counti… Show more

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Cited by 51 publications
(42 citation statements)
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References 47 publications
(87 reference statements)
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“…The variables which had the greatest influence on the model for R. decoloratus were altitude, precipitation of the wettest month, annual precipitation, mean temperature of the driest quarter and precipitation seasonality. Variability in temperature and precipitation has been observed to drive the distribution of other Ixodidae tick species studied (Hahn et al, 2016, James et al, 2015, Johnson et al, 2016. Annual mean NDVI seemed not to influence the occurrence of R. decoloratus despite its being considered a proxy for water availability which is key to the survival of ticks.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…The variables which had the greatest influence on the model for R. decoloratus were altitude, precipitation of the wettest month, annual precipitation, mean temperature of the driest quarter and precipitation seasonality. Variability in temperature and precipitation has been observed to drive the distribution of other Ixodidae tick species studied (Hahn et al, 2016, James et al, 2015, Johnson et al, 2016. Annual mean NDVI seemed not to influence the occurrence of R. decoloratus despite its being considered a proxy for water availability which is key to the survival of ticks.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…Localities with suitable habitat largely determine whether this tick can expand its range. In Minnesota, for example, the majority of the more suitable habitats for I. scapularis establishment are areas dominated by cool temperate forests, areas representing 19% of the state [ 39 ]. I. scapularis may become established in other less suitable habitats, e.g., temperate shrublands.…”
Section: Selected North American Ticks and Range Expansionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…I used a Jackknife procedure to assess the contribution of each variable to model prediction. This procedure was replicated 10 times (Johnson et al, 2016;Miller et al, 2012). The best fit model was judged using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC; Jiang et al, 2016).…”
Section: Ecological Niche Modelingmentioning
confidence: 99%