the population growth of top predators depends largely on environmental conditions suitable for aggregating sufficient and high-quality prey. We reconstructed numerically the size of a resident population of California sea lions in the Gulf of California during 1978-2019 and its relation with multi-decadal sea surface temperature anomalies. This is the first multi-decadal examination of the sea surface temperature of the Gulf of California and of one of its major predators. A three-decade sustained warming explained the population's trend accounting for 92% of the variance, including a 65% decline between 1991 and 2019. Long-term warming conditions started in the late 80s, followed by the population's decline from 43,834 animals (range 34,080-58,274) in 1991 to only 15,291 (range 11,861-20,316) in 2019. The models suggested a century-scale optimum sea surface habitat occurring in mildly temperate waters, from 0.18 to 0.39 °C above the 100-year mean. The mechanistic links of this relation are still untested, but apparent diversification of pelagic fish catches suggests a reduction of high quality prey. We propose this population should be considered vulnerable to any disturbance that could add to the negative effects of the current warm sea surface conditions in the Gulf of California. The physical structure of oceanic habitats often determines, through a multi-step process, the success of animal populations 1. Sea surface temperature and its variability is widely known to affect oceanic top predators such as pinnipeds, through bottom-up mechanisms 2-4. Abrupt or sustained changes of sea surface temperature affect the abundance and diversity of plankton communities 5 , pelagic fishes 6 , and ultimately marine mammals 7,8. The latter typically respond with alterations in foraging habits 9,10 , key physiological processes 11,12 , reproductive success, or survival 4. Although many marine mammal populations can withstand and recover from short-term sea surface warming conditions (e.g. El Niño) 13 , sustained positive environmental trends at a multi-decadal scale typically cause important shifts in the base of marine ecosystems 14 , and arguably the diversity of potential prey. These shifts could lead to the decline of some marine mammal populations as the conditions move away from the optimum habitat to which the species have adapted 15. In the Gulf of California (hereafter "the gulf "), there is a resident population of California sea lions (Zalophus californianus) 16 genetically isolated from the other populations of the Northeast Pacific Ocean 17. Although a ~ 20% reduction of this population during the 1990s has been proposed based on partial counts spanning 1997-2004 18,19 , its total size and temporal trend, as well as the historical environmental context, remain unknown. A recent review mentioned that the population decreased 44% between 1979 and 2016, based on unpublished data 20. Negative interaction with fisheries, and a temporal decline of the Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax) in the early 1990s, as a resul...