2012
DOI: 10.1590/s0104-11692012000600005
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Predictive validity of the Manchester Triage System: evaluation of outcomes of patients admitted to an emergency department

Abstract: Objective: to assess the predictive validity of the Manchester Triage System implemented in a municipal hospital in Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil. Method: cohort prospective and analytical study. The sample of 300 patients was stratified by color groups. The outcome measured was the scores, obtained by patients in each classification group in the Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System -28, 24 hours after admission to the emergency department. Results: A total of 172 (57%) patients were men and the average age of… Show more

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Cited by 34 publications
(32 citation statements)
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“…This result is similar to studies carried out in Brazil (13) and in Portugal. (14) In Brazil, the mean age of the population was lower (32 years) than in Portugal (53 years).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 92%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…This result is similar to studies carried out in Brazil (13) and in Portugal. (14) In Brazil, the mean age of the population was lower (32 years) than in Portugal (53 years).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 92%
“…It is reasonable to expect, thus, that the greater the severity of the patient, the greater the risk of evolving to death, showing that MTS is a good predictor of death, as it has been pointed in other studies. (11,13,15) The lack of a unified database for patients who entered the ES and were admitted to the hospitals studied represents a limitation of the study. It was necessary to resort to different databases to find the outcome of the patients.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…After multivariate logistic regression analysis, age, red risk rating and night admission were identified as independent predictors of mortality, which was not observed for admissions over the weekend. Thus, age is an intrinsic factor to the patient, and the severity is an intrinsic factor to the mechanism of injury 11,22,23 . On the other hand, night admission is presented, therefore, as an intrinsic factor of systemic error [22][23][24] .…”
Section: Discussion Discussion Discussion Discussion Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Thus, age is an intrinsic factor to the patient, and the severity is an intrinsic factor to the mechanism of injury 11,22,23 . On the other hand, night admission is presented, therefore, as an intrinsic factor of systemic error [22][23][24] .Reason et al 23 proposed a model that defines the error, or an unfavorable outcome in the case of medicine, as something systematic and to avoid them, there are numerous defense barriers. These barriers act as a Swiss cheese slices, each of which has intrinsic flaws, but an error to be realized must be a confluence of failures in all the barriers.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This can be explained by the fact that patients who entered the adult emergency room as lesser risk (yellow, green, blue), showed a deterioration in their health after initial treatment, thereby requiring care in the emergency room due to a lack of beds in the intensive care unit. A study that evaluated the predictive validity of the Manchester risk rating compared to the TISS-28 (Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System), an instrument that measures the severity of patients, found that patients evolve in different ways between the different risk ratings so that more emergency risk ratings were related to the higher TISS-28 scores (18) .…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%