Considerações sobre tendências da futurologia contemporânea

Rattner, Henrique

doi:10.1590/s0034-75901973000300007

Cited by 4 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 4 publications

(1 reference statement)

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…It emphasizes a discourse about a future condition, based on the reasoning that the anticipator does not make explicit. Thus, in the discourses, actions and/or recommendations of those who make a prediction, a high level of confidence is implicit (17). Prediction, in a strict sense, favors a way of explaining interrelated variables when one of them is time and is projected onto a future date.…”

Section: As Jantsch Maintainedmentioning

confidence: 99%

Future Anticipation in Sociology

Ferreira

Serpa

2021

Sci Insigt

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The ability to make forecasts about events is a goal favored by the so-called exact sciences. In sociology and other social sciences, the forecast, although often sought after, is not likely to be realized unconditionally. This article seeks to problematize and discuss the connection between sociology and forecast. The object of study of sociology has particular features that distinguish it from other scientific fields, namely facts and social situations, which deal with trends; the systems of belief of social scientists and policymakers that can influence the attempt to anticipate the future; the dissemination of information and knowledge produced by sociology and other social sciences, which have the potential to change reality and, consequently, to call into question their capacity for the social forecast. These principles pose challenges to sociology’s heuristic potentials, making the reflection on these challenges indispensable in the scientific approach to social processes.

show abstract

Section: As Jantsch Maintainedmentioning

confidence: 99%

Future Anticipation in Sociology

Ferreira

Serpa

2021

Sci Insigt

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Essas constatações expressam um fato fundamental por suas implicações quanto aos limites da atual política econômica: a economia brasileira evoluiu sob um regime de alto crescimento entre 1950 e 1980, abrangendo os períodos do Plano de Metas (1951-1961), do "milagre econômico" (1967-1973) e do II PND (1975-1979, enquanto, a partir dos anos 1980, desviou-se dessa trajetória de expansão acelerada, passando a operar sob um regime de baixo crescimento, mesmo após controlar a inflação.…”

Section: Três Décadas De Lento Crescimento: 1980-2009unclassified