Debatendo Futuros: Tendências Globais, Visões Alternativas E Discurso Público

Schulz, M.

doi:10.1590/2238-38752014v414

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 10 publications

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“…In sociology, considering the future as contingent and unpredictable, research on the futures focuses on the dynamics of imagination and creation of the future, current trends, possible and probable scenarios, and their social implications (7). This goal can be expressed in the following types of approaches: (i) specific forecasts, such as projections of current demographic trends or the so-called Delphi interviews with experts about their expectations regarding R&D (research and development); (ii) construction of alternative scenarios or simulations of futures that seem possible or probable; (iii) studies of social imagination and future creation, that is, empirical research on images of the future formulated in the past or present, as well as on the processes by which such visions are constructed and may or may not be effective; and (iv) normative or normative-analytic research on desirable futures, including research on the relationship between values and futures (7). This typology of reflections on the future expresses a polyhedral notion of the studies of the future characterized by interdisciplinarity and theoretical, methodological and technical plurality.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Future Anticipation in Sociology

Ferreira

Serpa

2021

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The ability to make forecasts about events is a goal favored by the so-called exact sciences. In sociology and other social sciences, the forecast, although often sought after, is not likely to be realized unconditionally. This article seeks to problematize and discuss the connection between sociology and forecast. The object of study of sociology has particular features that distinguish it from other scientific fields, namely facts and social situations, which deal with trends; the systems of belief of social scientists and policymakers that can influence the attempt to anticipate the future; the dissemination of information and knowledge produced by sociology and other social sciences, which have the potential to change reality and, consequently, to call into question their capacity for the social forecast. These principles pose challenges to sociology’s heuristic potentials, making the reflection on these challenges indispensable in the scientific approach to social processes.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%