The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014)

Zucco, César

doi:10.1590/1981-38212014000200006

Cited by 26 publications

(16 citation statements)

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“…In particular, political leaders may use social policy in order to strengthen their rule. In democratic regimes, social benefits can be a tool to gain or reward voters [45] , [46] , [47] , [48] . Autocracies may use transfers to mitigate social unrest by increasing the standard of living of the poor or they may channel benefits to their supporters [49] , [50] , [51] .…”

Section: Research Agendamentioning

confidence: 99%

Non-contributory social transfer programs in developing countries: A new dataset and research agenda

2018

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Social transfer programs in developing countries are designed to contribute to poverty reduction by increasing the income of the poor in order to ensure minimal living standards. In addition, social transfers provide a safety net for the vulnerable, who are typically not covered by contributory social security. The question of how effective such programs are in achieving these aims has been the subject of numerous impact evaluations. However, the optimal design of such programs is still unclear. Even less is known about whether the adoption and implementation of transfer programs is really driven by poverty and neediness or whether other factors also have an influence. To investigate these and other research questions, we have developed a new dataset entitled Non-Contributory Social Transfer Programs (NSTP) in Developing Countries. One advantage of this dataset is that it traces 186 non-contributory programs from 101 countries back in time and presents them in panel form for the period up until 2015. The second advantage is that it contains all the details regarding the various programs’ designs as well as information on costs and coverage in a coded format and thus facilitates both comparative quantitative and in-depth qualitative analyses. While describing the data we discuss a number of examples of how the dataset can be used to explore different issues related to social policies in developing countries. We present suggestive evidence that the adoption of social transfer programs is not based only on pro-poor motives, but rather that social policy choices differ between political regimes.

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Section: Research Agendamentioning

confidence: 99%

Non-contributory social transfer programs in developing countries: A new dataset and research agenda

2018

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“…Another example is the change of targeting of cash transfers to children in Mongolia from means-tested to universal benefits on the basis of the new government's socialist values (Farrington and Slater 2006). In addition, a growing literature addresses clientelism and vote buying in social policy, where social benefits and public goods are strategically used to increase popularity among the masses and gain or reward voters (De La O 2013;Manacorda et al 2011;Nupia 2011;Zucco 2015). We contribute to this literature by arguing that political regime type may have an effect on the initiation of social transfer programmes in developing countries.…”

Section: Related Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Regime type, inequality, and redistributive transfers in developing countries

Dodlova

Giolbas

2017

WIDER Working Paper

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Abstract:The debate on whether democracy and inequality increase the level of redistribution is ongoing. We construct a model that predicts higher probability of redistribution in democracies than autocracies through social transfers. Higher inequality leads to more redistribution in democracies but not necessarily in autocracies. Using the new data on Non-Contributory Social Transfer Programmes for 1990-2015, we find democracies are more likely to have a transfer programme. This is consistent with previous conclusions that democracy enhances redistribution measured by tax revenues and government expenditures. We also present less robust evidence that countries with a transfer programme experience higher inequality.

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“…A extrapolação dos resultados, porém, sugere que a presidente teria recebido votações expressivas nos locais mais pobres, mesmo sem o programa" (O Estado de São Paulo, 13/10/2014, p. A8). Em trabalho posterior, o autor (Zucco, 2015) desenvolve e amplia essa compreensão sinalizando para um importante efeito do PBF inclusive entre eleitores que não recebem o benefício.…”

Section: Matérias Em 2013unclassified

De Bolsa Esmola à Constituição Federal: o Programa Bolsa Família no jornal <i>O Estado de São Paulo</i> (2003-2013)

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Este é um artigo de acesso aberto, licenciado por Creative Commons Attribution License (CC-BY 3.0), sendo permitidas reprodução, adaptação e distribuição desde que o autor e a fonte originais sejam creditados. RESUMO O artigo visa apresentar resultados de uma investigação junto a exemplares selecionados do jornal O Estado de São Paulo, no período entre 2003 e 2013, com o intuito de compreender como o Programa Bolsa Família (PBF), programa de transferência de renda condicionada do governo federal criado em 2003, foi apresentado em um jornal de grande circulação nacional durante seus 10 primeiros anos de existência. Para a realização da pesquisa, foram lidos 60 exemplares do jornal O Estado de São Paulo, selecionados em setembro e outubro de 2003, outubro de 2008 e outubro de 2013. Desse conjunto, foram selecionadas 27 matérias que tratam diretamente do PBF e que constituem o corpus da investigação apresentada.A seleção dos períodos temporais justificou-se no sentido de analisar as matérias sobre o PBF no ano de seu lançamento, cinco e dez anos depois. Ao longo dos dez anos, pode-se notar mudanças em relação à maneira como o programa foi retratado pelo jornal, sobretudo, em relação às chamadas portas de saída. Em 2003, foram encontradas matérias que chamavam atenção para a questão das "portas de saída" e tratavam o PBF como "Bolsa Esmola", por uma característica de seu desenho de não exigir um tempo máximo de permanência no Programa. Tais críticas, ao longo dos anos, arrefeceram, a tal ponto de, em 2013, o principal candidato da oposição à presidência da República propor a Constitucionalização do benefício, além de ser visto como uma força positiva para a campanha da reeleição da presidente da República Dilma Rousseff. Palavras-chave: políticas públicas, transferência de renda, educação, jornal O Estado de São Paulo.

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The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014)

Cited by 26 publications

References 16 publications

Non-contributory social transfer programs in developing countries: A new dataset and research agenda

Non-contributory social transfer programs in developing countries: A new dataset and research agenda

Regime type, inequality, and redistributive transfers in developing countries

De Bolsa Esmola à Constituição Federal: o Programa Bolsa Família no jornal <i>O Estado de São Paulo</i> (2003-2013)

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