Extreme Events, Climate Change and Adaptation in the State of São Paulo

Giulio, Gabriela Marques Di; Torres, Roger Rodrigues; Vasconcellos, Maria da Penha; Braga, Daniel Cardoso; Mancini, Rosa Maria de Oliveira Machado; Lemos, Maria Carmen

doi:10.1590/1809-4422asoc0277r1vu19l4ao

Cited by 9 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 24 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Particularly in the context of Brazilian cities, Di Giulio et al (2019a) endorse that administrative practices, political will, level of commitment, a mismatch between the scale of urban issues and the extent of local government authority, pressures from private sectors, and inspection have the highest levels of impact on adaptation. More specifically, concerning the local dynamics of urban planning, the authors argue that the combination of pressures from private sectors and insufficient inspection negatively affect the ability of cities to consolidate adaptation interventions.…”

Section: Theoretical Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Why do extreme events still kill in the São Paulo Macro Metropolis Region? Chronicle of a death foretold in the global south

Travassos

Torres

Giulio

et al. 2020

International Journal of Urban Sustainable Development

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This paper contributes to the study of climate change and environmental justice with a particular focus on a Global South case-study in the São Paulo Macro Metropolis of Brazil. We also aim to contribute to mandatory critical dialogue between (anticipatory) governance and environmental justice. This study focuses on the rainy seasons from 2016 to 2019. We examine the incidence of 61 extreme precipitation events, as well as 47 deaths caused by rain events, considering their location based on vulnerability indicators. The correlations among these data allow us to reveal the socioenvironmental patterns within the relationships between social vulnerability and deaths caused by general rainfall and, more specifically, extreme events. Based on this, we demonstrate that current infrastructure or its lack is one of the reasons why death tolls remain due to the absence of anticipatory governance.

show abstract

Section: Theoretical Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Why do extreme events still kill in the São Paulo Macro Metropolis Region? Chronicle of a death foretold in the global south

Travassos

Torres

Giulio

et al. 2020

International Journal of Urban Sustainable Development

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…A ausência de uma política local de mudanças climáticas ou é::: de ações dentro do plano diretor de Natal [...] Di Giulio et al (2019b), nessa ótica, salientam que, com a ausência de ações de prevenção e resposta aos efeitos das mudanças climáticas, as cidades perdem a oportunidade de atrelar os seus planos diretores, que se configuram como a principal política de desenvolvimento urbano-territorial da cidade de acordo com o Estatuto da Cidade, definido pela Lei nº 10.257, de 10 de julho de 2001 (Brasil, 2001), com os processos de ajustes de antecipação dos efeitos das mudanças climáticas.…”

Section: A Cidade Do Natal Sob Análise: Estratégias De Adaptação Climunclassified

“…No Brasil, onde mais de 80% da população já vive em áreas urbanas (Di Giulio et al, 2019b) com estilos de vida que podem levar a mudanças no sistema climático e, com isso, gerar os mais variados efeitos negativos aos ecossistemas (PBMC, 2012), ainda são poucas as cidades que têm o tema das mudanças climáticas incorporado nas agendas locais (Barbieri et al, 2018). A adaptação climática depende de fatores como vontade política em adotar medidas adaptativas, e disponibilidade e capacidade de implementar os recursos existentes (Di Giulioet al, 2019a).…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

Cidades, mudanças climáticas e adaptação: um estudo de caso de Natal/RN, Brasil

Teixeira

Pessoa

Giulio

2020

Desenvolv. Meio Ambiente

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

As cidades são as principais responsáveis pela intensificação do fenômeno das mudanças climáticas por meio das emissões de efeito estufa, mas também exercem grande protagonismo no enfrentamento desse fenômeno por meio da adoção de medidas, por exemplo, de adaptação. Então, compreender o que as cidades têm feito para se adaptar às mudanças climáticas é um importante passo na construção de cidades menos vulneráveis e mais sustentáveis. Nesse sentido, o objetivo deste artigo é investigar como a cidade do Natal tem internalizado a questão das mudanças climáticas, identificando e analisando as estratégias de adaptação climática no âmbito local. Para tanto, a metodologia segue uma abordagem de natureza qualitativa, utilizando dos métodos de levantamento bibliográfico, pesquisa documental, realização de entrevistas semiestruturadas, observação de reuniões e análise de conteúdo. Na análise e discussão dos resultados, os autores observam que, em Natal, mesmo com a adoção de algumas medidas de resposta aos efeitos das mudanças climáticas, a cidade apresenta uma série de barreiras e entraves para avançar no processo de adaptação climática. Em síntese, os autores concluem que, no âmbito da cidade do Natal, o tema das mudanças climáticas, tampouco da adaptação, não está no cerne das pautas da agenda governamental municipal.

show abstract

“…Air pollutants and marine contaminants contribute to the environmental changes (IPCC 2009). The number of natural disasters that have been occurring since the middle of the 20th century and the beginning of the 21st century is mainly attributed to the increase in the concentration of greenhouse gases and according to (Ryan 2015;Di Giulio et al 2019) it is necessary to develop governance strategies to mitigate their effects. Wallemacq (2018) shows that between 1998 and 2017 thousands of people have suffered from extreme weather events with 91% of all disasters being related to droughts, floods, and storms.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Extreme climatic characteristics near the coastline of the southeast region of Brazil in the last 40 years

Oliveira

Fernandes

et al. 2021

Theor Appl Climatol

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The southeastern Brazilian coast is a vulnerable region to the development of severe storms, mainly caused by the passage of cold fronts and extratropical cyclones. In the last decades, there has been an increase in the occurrence of subtropical cyclones. This study investigates trends and climatic variations, analyzing surface meteoceanographic series at six grid points from the reanalysis databases of ERA-Interim and ERA5 (European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts-ECMWF) from 1979 to 2018 over the ocean region bounded, approximately, at 18°S, 25°S and 37ºW, 45ºW (between the states of Espírito Santo, Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo). Non-parametric statistical tests and the generalized extreme value distribution are employed for annual, seasonal and daily maxima/minima. The numbers of occurrence of extreme values, as well as the extremal index are also estimated in order to better understand the behavior of extremes. Annual maximum sea-surface temperature anomalies of the ERA-Interim databases show very low negative values, mainly at the beginning of measurements (between 1979 and 1982), leading to high positive trend values. The results are compared to the updated data from ERA5 which have anomalies that are more homogeneous with positive trends but without statistical significance. The other meteorological series of the ERA-Interim does not present discrepancies. Only the maximum anomalies of air temperature have significant annual and seasonal positive trends at grid points near the coast of Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo. Despite that the analyses for pressure and wind speed anomalies do not indicate significant trends, they present increases in the interdecadal pattern of the numbers of occurrence of extreme percentiles for almost every grid point. Return levels for 10, 25, 50, 75, and 100 years are estimated at each grid point and many maximum/minimum peaks are close to the return levels for 100-year return periods. The extremal index suggests average cluster sizes associated with no predominance of clustering for the extreme percentiles, which represents weak dependence between the exceedances. These results characterize some independence between extreme meteorological events such as the event that has been taking place in the region. The occurrence of maximum daily wind speed peaks calculated in austral spring, whose values exceeded the previous ones, is identified at three grid points near the southeast Brazilian coast, caused by the passage of the subtropical cyclone "Deni," which occurred in November 2016.

show abstract

Extreme Events, Climate Change and Adaptation in the State of São Paulo

Cited by 9 publications

References 24 publications

Why do extreme events still kill in the São Paulo Macro Metropolis Region? Chronicle of a death foretold in the global south

Why do extreme events still kill in the São Paulo Macro Metropolis Region? Chronicle of a death foretold in the global south

Cidades, mudanças climáticas e adaptação: um estudo de caso de Natal/RN, Brasil

Extreme climatic characteristics near the coastline of the southeast region of Brazil in the last 40 years

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About