Economic Injury Level of Citrus Black-Fly in Commercial ‘Pera-Rio’ Orange Area

Lima, Bruno Gonçalves; Farias, Paulo Roberto Silva; Ramos, Édson Marcos Leal Soares; Sales, Tiago de Melo; Silva, Anderson Gonçalves da

doi:10.1590/0100-29452017461

Cited by 5 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 10 publications

(11 reference statements)

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“…Abiotic factors such as temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity are climatic variables that directly affect the infestation potential [ 11 ], life cycle [ 12 ], reproduction, and survival [ 13 ] of CBF in different agroecosystems. Identifying potential CBF distribution areas is a fundamental step in formulating strategies that hinder and limit the expansion of this invasive pest in other climatic conditions.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A MaxEnt Model of Citrus Black Fly Aleurocanthus woglumi Ashby (Hemiptera: Aleyrodidae) under Different Climate Change Scenarios

da Silva,

Souza,

de Oliveira

et al. 2024

Plants

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The citrus blackfly (CBF), Aleurocanthus woglumi Ashby, is an exotic pest native to Southeast Asia that has spread rapidly to the world’s main centers of citrus production, having been recently introduced to Brazil. In this study, a maximum entropy niche model (MaxEnt) was used to predict the potential worldwide distribution of CBF under current and future climate change scenarios for 2030 and 2050. These future scenarios came from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), SSP1-2.6, and SSP5-8.5. The MaxEnt model predicted the potential distribution of CBF with area under receiver operator curve (AUC) values of 0.953 and 0.930 in the initial and final models, respectively. The average temperature of the coldest quarter months, precipitation of the rainiest month, isothermality, and precipitation of the driest month were the strongest predictors of CBF distribution, with contributions of 36.7%, 14.7%, 13.2%, and 10.2%, respectively. The model based on the current time conditions predicted that suitable areas for the potential occurrence of CBF, including countries such as Brazil, China, the European Union, the USA, Egypt, Turkey, and Morocco, are located in tropical and subtropical regions. Models from SSP1-2.6 (2030 and 2050) and SSP5-8.5 (2030) predicted that suitable habitats for CBF are increasing dramatically worldwide under future climate change scenarios, particularly in areas located in the southern US, southern Europe, North Africa, South China, and part of Australia. On the other hand, the SSP5-8.5 model of 2050 indicated a great retraction of the areas suitable for CBF located in the tropical region, with an emphasis on countries such as Brazil, Colombia, Venezuela, and India. In general, the CMIP6 models predicted greater risks of invasion and dissemination of CBF until 2030 and 2050 in the southern regions of the USA, European Union, and China, which are some of the world’s largest orange producers. Knowledge of the current situation and future propagation paths of the pest serve as tools to improve the strategic government policies employed in CBF’s regulation, commercialization, inspection, combat, and phytosanitary management.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A MaxEnt Model of Citrus Black Fly Aleurocanthus woglumi Ashby (Hemiptera: Aleyrodidae) under Different Climate Change Scenarios

da Silva,

Souza,

de Oliveira

et al. 2024

Plants

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“…woglumi is caused by continuous sucking of leaf sap [ 27 ], whereas indirect damage is associated with the development of a sooty mold ( Capnodium sp.) causing negative physiological changes to plants [ 28 ]. Physiological changes caused by these direct and indirect effects decelerate plant growth and reduce the quality, size and number of fruits [ 27 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Climatic variables, especially temperature and rainfall, are important factors affecting the infestation potential of A . woglumi [ 28 ]. In tropical environments, all life stages of A .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…woglumi may be found throughout the year, but reproduction ceases during cold periods [ 30 ]. Females favour oviposition sites in tree canopies with high humidity because the latter influences egg hatch and nymph survival [ 28 , 31 ]. Each female may lay more than 100 eggs in a characteristic spiral pattern on the underside of young leaves in batches (average 38) [ 32 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Potential global distribution of Aleurocanthus woglumi considering climate change and irrigation

et al. 2021

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Citrus blackfly, Aleurocanthus woglumi Ashby (Hemiptera: Aleyrodidae), is an important agricultural quarantine pest, causing substantial economic losses to citrus and many other cultivated crops. Aleurocanthus woglumi is found in tropical and subtropical regions but is presently unknown in Europe and the Mediterranean Basin. We used CLIMEX to model the potential distribution of A. woglumi under an historical climate scenario (centred on 1995), including a spatially explicit irrigation scenario. We found that A. woglumi could potentially invade the Mediterranean Basin, and south-east Asia, including Australia. There is potential for it to invade most of sub-Saharan Africa. Irrigation is revealed as an important habitat factor affecting the potential distribution of A. woglumi, increasing its potential range by 53% in Asia. Under a future climate scenario for 2050, its potential distribution increased across all continents except Africa, where potential range expansion due to relaxation of cold stresses was limited, and was offset by range decrease due to lethal heat or dry stress. As global climates warm, Europe is likely to face a substantial increase in the area at risk of establishment by A. woglumi (almost doubling under the 2050 irrigation scenario). The biosecurity threat from A. woglumi is significant in current citrus production areas and poses a challenge to biosecurity managers and risk analysts.

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Global change and adaptive biosecurity: managing current and emerging Aleurocanthus woglumi threats to Europe

Lemic,

Kriticos,

Viric Gasparic

et al. 2024

Current Opinion in Insect Science

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Economic Injury Level of Citrus Black-Fly in Commercial ‘Pera-Rio’ Orange Area

Cited by 5 publications

References 10 publications

A MaxEnt Model of Citrus Black Fly Aleurocanthus woglumi Ashby (Hemiptera: Aleyrodidae) under Different Climate Change Scenarios

A MaxEnt Model of Citrus Black Fly Aleurocanthus woglumi Ashby (Hemiptera: Aleyrodidae) under Different Climate Change Scenarios

Potential global distribution of Aleurocanthus woglumi considering climate change and irrigation

Global change and adaptive biosecurity: managing current and emerging Aleurocanthus woglumi threats to Europe

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