Comparison of conventional and Monte Carlo simulation-based probabilistic seismic hazard analyses for Shiraz city, southern Iran

Zafarani, Hamid; Jahanandish, M.

doi:10.1007/s10950-018-9790-5

J Seismol

2018

DOI: 10.1007/s10950-018-9790-5

|View full text |Cite

Comparison of conventional and Monte Carlo simulation-based probabilistic seismic hazard analyses for Shiraz city, southern Iran

Hamid Zafarani

M. Jahanandish

Help me understand this report

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...

Citation Types

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Year Published

2020

2022

Publication Types

Select...

Article4

Relationship

Self Cite1

Independent3

Authors

Journals

Cited by 4 publications

References 43 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

A probabilistic deformation-based seismic hazard model for Iran

Lotfi

Zafarani²,

Khodaverdian³

2022

Bull Earthquake Eng

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, as the most prevalent approach to evaluate earthquake hazard, is commonly based on earthquake catalogs. Although previous studies show that the recurrence time of large-magnitude (Mw > 7.0) events in Iran is more than ~1000-2000 years, the available instrumentally recorded earthquakes are limited to less than 100 years. With the idea of having another proxy for seismicity rates, we propose a methodology to evaluate activity rates from strain rates in a combination of regional estimates of  and max m .Considering the comprehensive deformation model of the Iranian Plateau, we found that the deformation-based occurrence rates are more than the catalog-based occurrence rates in all seismotectonic provinces in the Iranian Plateau. Except for Central Iran, the ratios of the deformation-based to the catalog-based occurrence rate are between 1.21-3.95. For the first time, a probabilistic deformation-based seismic hazard model for the Iranian plateau is also developed and Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) values for 10% and 2% POEs in 50 years are estimated. The highest levels of PGA are found in the Azerbaijan and Alborz seismotectonic provinces, where the highest value of strain rates is located. The spatial averages of PGA with 10% POE in 50 years from the deformation-based model are up to 30% higher than the results of a traditional probabilistic seismic hazard for almost all provinces except the Zagros region.

show abstract

A probabilistic deformation-based seismic hazard model for Iran

Lotfi

Zafarani²,

Khodaverdian³

2022

Bull Earthquake Eng

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

Multivariate Bayesian hypothesis testing for ground motion model selection

Shahidzadeh¹,

Yazdani

Eftekhari

2020

J Seismol

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Towards an Iranian national risk-targeted model for seismic hazard mapping

Zarrineghbal

Zafarani

Rahimian

2021

Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.

Contact Info

hi@scite.ai

334 Leonard St

Brooklyn, NY 11211

Blog Terms and Conditions API Terms Privacy Policy Contact Cookie Preferences Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information

Made with 💙 for researchers

Part of the Research Solutions Family.

Comparison of conventional and Monte Carlo simulation-based probabilistic seismic hazard analyses for Shiraz city, southern Iran

Cited by 4 publications

References 43 publications

A probabilistic deformation-based seismic hazard model for Iran

A probabilistic deformation-based seismic hazard model for Iran

Multivariate Bayesian hypothesis testing for ground motion model selection

Towards an Iranian national risk-targeted model for seismic hazard mapping

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About