The purpose of the study is to develop an economic-mathematical model of the socio-economic system, which takes into account its logistical structure and ecological viability. This allows for optimal budget planning for the new project. The methodology of the study is based on the method of J. Forster, who proposed to consider the logistics system of any enterprise as a system of reservoirs linked by material, financial and information flows. The main result of the study is as follows. The methodology is designed and developed a mathematical program that allows estimating the relative value of fixed assets of production and the number of costs for creating a retail network with the impact of the environmental components. It is shown that this ratio is determined by the value of all key parameters of the enterprise logistics system. This result was obtained through careful modeling of structural changes in the logistics system of the enterprise. All basic communications (flows) between the elements of the logistics system were also considered. Calculations were conducted for the system of the equations which have been written down in shape with discrete-time. At the same time modeling was carried out so that there were no "not physical" phenomena (such as overflow of warehouses, etc.). As a result of calculations, optimum values for all basic characteristics of the new project have been specified. The most actual has separately been considered for practice as a case of optimum planning of storage facilities. The practical importance of research consists that scientific representations about interrelation of the capacity of the enterprise with key parameters of the logistic system can form a basis for more effective planning and management budgetary and production processes at the enterprise, namely: it is more reasonable to plan scales of production and expenses on logistics creation.
Ukraine has a relative drawback in the economic defense capabilities, which needs to be addressed by raising the indicators of macroeconomic development, innovation, and economic potential, social health of the population of the state, and the support of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, by the state. The estimation of the defense capability of states like Ukraine, Poland, Russia and Turkey is made on the basis of the developed methodological approach to the overall representation of the health of the economies of the states and their defense capabilities using the method of constructing petal diagrams with the definition of their effective areas, which became indicators of economic status and defense capability. The article analyses the dependence of the development level of the countries’ economies and the state of development of the armed forces of these countries in the conditions of resource constraints and existing risks on the basis of macroeconomic data and indicators. This article uses the indicators for the determination of the level of defense capability and the data of petal diagrams and the scenario modeling of the development strategies of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with the aim of constructing the most optimal forecast in this area.
As a result of research, the concept of a flexible evolutionary model is proposed, which with the help of machine learning allows obtaining the most successful strategy for the development of human capital. The proposed conceptual and methodological approach to machine learning of the process of assessing human capital of enterprises, taking into account the cognitive psychology of man and reflective attitudes in the human environment, can increase the effectiveness of decision-making in the field of human capital development management. The training involves indicators of return on investment in the individual, in the types of components of human capital, which are characterized by properties (creativity, competence, purposefulness, communication, motivation), where between their varieties there are appropriate reflective relationships. The main difficulty of this approach to the choice of alternative solutions for finding options for the use of human capital is the correct selection of indicators of significance (return) of contributions to the development of types of human capital, on the basis of which cycles occur of systemic learning. This approach can simplify the search for and developments of human capital development strategies, present alternative ways, and simplify management decisions.
The AFU support budget policy does not have any sufficient modern mechanism for the best budget planning, which would predict the possible state of budget items execution and resolve the alignment of financial processes to NATO standards. And this is caused by the lack of application of particular mathematical tools for budgetary processes prediction and optimization to carry out the evaluation and analysis of the budget use considering the probability factor. A model for managing the use of budget and borrowed funds for the Armed Forces of Ukraine development programs according to NATO standards, considering the levels of long-term development of programs and the probability of their implementation, is developed. The result of the evaluation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine effectiveness based on the utility function and cognitive model was the management model for the processes of budget and borrowed funds use for the AFU development programsin compliance with NATO standards. The model takes into account the long-term programs development levels and the probability of their implementation, affecting the interaction between the indicators of the AFU planning and budget process execution and increasing the effectiveness of defense reform in Ukraine. Its practical use helps to approach NATO standards in budgetary sphere and provides an opportunity to forecast budget under expenditures under the risk of its use. The cognitive model of the impact of interaction between the planning and the AFU budget process execution indicators on the effectiveness of defense reform in Ukraine establishes the links in the contours of the defense reform effectiveness management, which can be defined as critical, i. e. risky and provides an opportunity to assess the risk levels of each contour and to model scenarios and options for improving the processes of planning and use of budget funds for defense reform. The decrease of the Armed Forces of Ukraine budget underfunding initially leads to a vibrational process of impacts on the target vertex, but then the process stabilizes. In order to study the dynamics of influence of the factors, acting as instruments of the AFU budget resources management on the target vertex, apply the method of impulse processes. This method is used for scenario modeling of alternative decisions.
Throughout its existence, the Ukrainian state has always suffered from political, economic and military harassment by neighboring states from ancient times to the present day. Whether its geographical location, which determines the center of Europe, or ineffective leadership, has always forced Ukraine to uphold its legitimate interests, territorial integrity and independence. Under such conditions, the Armed Forces of Ukraine (the Armed Forces) are the key to protecting the territorial integrity and inviolability of Ukraine entrusted to them by the Constitution of the state. Ukraine has a relative backwardness in the economic defense capabilities, which needs to be addressed by raising the indicators of macroeconomic development, innovation and economic potential, social health of the population of the state, and the support of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, by the state. The estimation of the defense capability of the states of Ukraine, Poland, Russia and Turkey is made on the basis of the developed methodological approach to the overall representation of the health of the economies of the states and their defense capabilities using the method of constructing petal diagrams with the definition of their effective areas, which became indicators of economic status and defense capability. The results of the assessment of the developed and applied indices of defense capabilities of the states of Ukraine, Poland, Russia and Turkey indicate some deviations of the ratings of the states according to the MCI military potential index in comparison with the GFI global fire strength indexes and the Credit Suisse (СS) institute for the states Ukraine and Poland. According to GFI, the global fire strength index is inferior to Poland, and the MCI military capability index is the opposite. This suggests that these states have almost one level of defense, if not take into account that Poland is a member of NATO. As to the economic status of the defense capability of Turkey and Russia, Russia is ahead of and has a second world level after the United States. But they also have significant economic problems that, in the long run, give Ukraine, with proper planning of defense capabilities and the availability of significant intellectual capital, to reach their level and to ensure the inviolability of the borders from possible encroachment.
Українськими та закордонними дослідниками вже неодноразово наголошувалося на проблематиці внутрішнього контролю у системі фінансового механізму Збройних сил. Проте з огляду на ведення воєнних дій актуальність даного питання значно зросла та містить багато невирішених проблем. А з огляду на стрімке зростання кількості особового складу, розгортання до штатів військового часу багатьох частин та формування нових підрозділів, потенційний прогноз по кількості та обсягу порушень може бути дуже значним. Мета дослідження полягала в тому, щоб проаналізувати ключові елементи, які впливають на прозорість та цілісність, процеси організації контролю у системі фінансового механізму Збройних сил, особливо під час ведення воєнних дій. На підставі проведеного дослідження сформулювати ряд висновків та рекомендацій, які могли б бути використаними Збройними силами та іншими силовими структурами.
Мета роботи: є аналіз обсягів воєнних витрат Росії та їх структури у період 2010-2022 років з метою виявлення тенденцій підготовки РФ до війни з Україною, а також з метою розкриття воєнних втрат РФ у російсько-українській війні та формування рекомендацій щодо економічній протидії країни світу та України. Метод: основними методами досліджень є методи системного аналізу та синтезу економічних процесів, регресійного та кореляційного аналізу, методи економічної теорії та економічної логіки. Результати дослідження: розкрито структуру воєнних витрат Росії за досліджуваний період, визначені основні тенденції її зміни за роками, за обсягами воєнних витрат сформовано прогноз на наступний 2023 рік, зроблені висновки щодо дій Росії у війні та визначені практичні рекомендації щодо економічної та організаційної протидії Росії країнами світу та Україною. Теоретична цінність дослідження: основними результатами досліджень за тематикою статті є: результати аналізу воєнних витрат Росії та їх структури за досліджуваний період, а також сформовані рекомендації щодо економічної та організаційної протидії Росії в умовах війни.
К. С. Горячева, к. е. н, доцент, провідний науковий співробітник науково-дослідної лабораторії проблем інноваційного співробітництва в освітній та науковій сфері науководослідного відділу військово-термінологічної та лексикографічної діяльності лінгвістичного науково-дослідного управління науково-дослідного центру, Військовий інститут Київського національного університету імені Тараса Шевченка ORCID ID: 0000-0003-1503-4425 О. П. Остапенко, к. е. н., професор кафедри фінансового забезпечення військ, Військовий інститут Київського національного університету імені Тараса Шевченка
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