Human societies depend on an Earth System that operates within a constrained range of nutrient 68 availability, yet the recent trajectory of terrestrial nitrogen (N) availability is uncertain. 69 Examining patterns of foliar N concentrations ([N]) and isotope ratios (δ 15 N) from more than 42,000 samples acquired over years, here we show that foliar [N] declined by 8% and foliar δ 15 N declined by 0.8 -1.9 ‰. Examining patterns across different climate spaces, foliar δ 15 N declined across the entire range of MAT and MAP tested. These results suggest declines in N supply relative to plant demand at the global scale. In all, there are now multiple lines of evidence of declining N availability in many unfertilized terrestrial ecosystems, including declines in δ 15 N of tree rings and leaves from herbarium samples over the past 75-150 years. 76These patterns are consistent with the proposed consequences of elevated atmospheric CO 2 and longer growing seasons. These declines will limit future terrestrial C uptake and increase nutritional stress for herbivores. 235 much. Preventing these declines in N availability further emphasizes the need to reduce 236 anthropogenic CO 2 emissions.Data and code availability. The datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are available in the Dryad repository [link to be generated upon acceptance]. All code used for statistical analyses and figure generation are available on Dryad (XXX).
SummaryA significant fraction of carbon stored in the Earth's soil moves through arbuscular mycorrhiza (AM) and ectomycorrhiza (EM). The impacts of AM and EM on the soil carbon budget are poorly understood.We propose a method to quantify the mycorrhizal contribution to carbon cycling, explicitly accounting for the abundance of plant-associated and extraradical mycorrhizal mycelium. We discuss the need to acquire additional data to use our method, and present our new global database holding information on plant species-by-site intensity of root colonization by mycorrhizas. We demonstrate that the degree of mycorrhizal fungal colonization has globally consistent patterns across plant species. This suggests that the level of plant species-specific root colonization can be used as a plant trait.To exemplify our method, we assessed the differential impacts of AM : EM ratio and EM shrub encroachment on carbon stocks in sub-arctic tundra. AM and EM affect tundra carbon stocks at different magnitudes, and via partly distinct dominant pathways: via extraradical mycelium (both EM and AM) and via mycorrhizal impacts on above-and belowground biomass carbon (mostly AM).Our method provides a powerful tool for the quantitative assessment of mycorrhizal impact on local and global carbon cycling processes, paving the way towards an improved understanding of the role of mycorrhizas in the Earth's carbon cycle.
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