Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia and a predictor of the complications of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVDs), particularly thromboembolic events and the progression of heart failure. We analyzed the determinants of the 13-year risk of incident AF in a Russian population cohort of middle and elderly age. A random population sample (n = 9360, age 45–69 years) was examined at baseline in 2003–2005 and reexamined in 2006–2008 and 2015–2017 in Novosibirsk (the HAPIEE study). Incident AF was being registered during the average follow-up of 13 years. The final analysis included 3871 participants free from baseline AF and cardiovascular disease (CVD) who participated in all three data collections. In a multivariable-adjusted Cox regression model, the 13-year risk of AF was positively associated with the male sex (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.20; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.26–3.87); age (HR = 1.10 per year; 95% CI 1.07–1.14); body mass index (BMI), (HR = 1.11 per unit; 95% CI 1.07–1.15); systolic blood pressure (SBP), (HR = 1.02 per 1 mmHg; 95% CI 1.01–1.02), and it was negatively associated with total cholesterol (TC), (HR = 0.79 per 1 mmol/L; 95% CI 0.66–0.94). In women, the risk of AF was more strongly associated with hypertension (HT) and was also negatively related to total cholesterol (TC) level (HR = 0.74 per 1 mmol/L; 95% CI 0.56–0.96). No independent association was found with mean alcohol intake per drinking occasion. These results in a Russian cohort have an implication for the prediction of AF and ASCVD complications in the general population.

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Aim      To analyze frequency and profile of the lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) in patients with dyslipidemia (DLP) and cardiometabolic diseases (CMD) in a population sample aged 55-84 years at the current time (2015–2017).Material and methods  Despite guidelines on DLP treatment and the availability of effective and safe lipid-lowering drugs, control of DPL in primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) is insufficient. Knowledge of the level of pharmaceutical correction of DLP in the Russian population is limited; it requires an LLT assessment in various regions and in a wide age range, and a regular monitoring taking into account changing approaches to the correction of DLP. A random population of men and women aged 55–84 years (n=3 896) was evaluated in Novosibirsk in 2015–2017 (project HAPIEE). A joint DLP category was established as low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) ≥3.0 mmol/l, or total cholesterol (TC) ≥5.0 mmol/l, or triglycerides (TG) ≥1.7 mmol/l, or LLT. The combined group of DLP and CMD included ischemic heart disease (IHD), type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM2), and DLP. Regular LLD treatment for the recent 12 months, excluding the dosage of medicines, was assessed using the Anatomic Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) classification. The conditional control of serum lipids was taken as the achievement of LDL-C <3.0 mmol/l, TC <5.0 mmol/l, and TG <1.7 mmol/l.Results In the study sample, the total prevalence of DLP and CMD was 88 % (82.8 % for men and 91.3 % for women, p<0.001). 48.3% of patients in the IHD group, 35.0% in the DM2 group, 29.4% in the DLP group, and 32.8% in the CMD group took LLT. Control of serum lipids was achieved in 18.3% (37.9 % of patients on LLT) of patients with IHD; 9 % (25.6 % of patients on LLT) of patients with DM2; 7.3 % (24.8 % of patients on LLT) of patients with DLP; and 9.0 % (27.6 % of patients on LLTсреди) in the DLP and CMD group. Women with DM2 and DLP more frequently achieved lipid control than men (p<0.001). 98.7 % of study participants took statins as LLT.Conclusion      In the sample of urban population aged 55–84 years in 2015–2017, 90 % of patients had DLP or CMD, and at least ¾ of them required blood lipid control. The lipid control was achieved in every fifth IHD patient and in approximately 40% of those who took LLT. For DM2 or DLP patients, the lipid control was achieved in every tenth patient and in approximately 25% of those receiving LLT. Frequency of lipid control in IHD patients was comparable for men and women; in DM2 and DLP, men less frequently achieved the lipid control than women. About 70% of patients in the combined DLP and CMD group and more than 50% of IHD patients did not take LLT, which considerably contributed to the insufficient lipid control in primary and secondary prevention of atherosclerotic CVDs in this population.

Objective To analyze a profile of hypotensive drug therapy in patients with arterial hypertension (АH) aged 55–84 in a sample of urban population at a current period of time (2015–2017).Materials and Methods AH is a leader among risk factors of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) due to its high prevalence and serious prognosis. Despite the availability of effective hypotensive drugs and guidelines on AH treatment, 50% of patients do not achieve blood pressure (BP) goals. Knowledge about drug correction of AH in the Russian population is limited to clinical studies. Taking into account changing approaches in management of patients with AH, the population-based evaluation of hypotensive treatment if relevant. A random population sample of males and females aged 55-84 (n=3.898) was evaluated in Novosibirsk in 2015-2017 (international project, Health, Alcohol and Psychosocial Factors in Eastern Europe (HAPIEE)). AH was diagnosed in presence of systolic BP ≥140 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg and/or treatment with hypotensive drugs within the recent two weeks. Regular intake of medication for 12 months was evaluated with coding according to the Anatomic Therapeutic Chemical Classification System (АТХ / АТС).Results In the population sample aged 55–84, AH prevalence was 80.9 %, and 21.1 % of persons with AH did not receive drug therapy. Hypotensive medicines included (total/as a part of combination therapy) angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors (42.3 % / 25.3 %), angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs) (30.3 % / 18.9 %), diuretics (22.6 % / 20.4 %), calcium channel blockers (20.2 % / 16.1 %), and beta-blockers (34.7 % / 27.6 %). 45.7 % of people with AH received a combination therapy. Effective BP control was achieved in 23.4 % of AH patients and in 29.6 % of patients receiving a hypotensive therapy. In the group of ineffective BP control, the proportion of females was lower, AH duration was longer, and blood glucose was higher than in the group of effective control.Conclusion In the sample of urban population aged 55–84 in 2015–2017, each fourth participant with AH and each third participant using hypotensive drugs achieved effective BP control. The therapy profile in AH patients included recommended drug classes. However, combination therapy was used insufficiently (50% of AH patients). By frequency of use, ACE inhibitors were on the first place, beta-blockers were on the second place, ARBs were on the third place, diuretics were on the fourth place, and calcium channel blockers were on the fifth place, which differed from the guidelines (the difference from the recommended priority ranking is that the drugs taking the first places in the guidelines were in fact on the 3rd and 4th places in their actual frequency of use). 20% of persons with AH did not receive hypotensive therapy, which significantly contributed to the insufficient BP control in the population.

The reduction in bone and muscle mass increases in menopausal women and poses a threat to the loss of self-dependence in the elderly. The aim of the study was to assess the frequency of osteoporotic forearm fractures (OFF) in postmenopausal women and to study their association with risk factors for chronic non-communicable diseases (NCD). The study was based on the Russian arm of the Health, Alcohol and Psychosocial Factors In Eastern Europe (HAPIEE) project (Novosibirsk). In a subsample of postmenopausal women aged 55–84 years old (n = 2005), we assessed the history of OFF during the last 3 years and risk factors for fracture and common NCD/. Cross-sectional associations between OFF history and potential determinants were analyzed using multivariable-adjusted logistic regression. A history of OFF in the last 3 years was found in 3.9% women. In a multivariable-adjusted model, the risk of OFF was directly associated with smoking in the past (OR = 2.23; 95% Cl 1.10–4.55), total cholesterol level higher than 200 mg/dL (OR = 1.98; 95% Cl 1.19–3.29), and it was inversely associated with body mass index (OR = 0.91; 95% Cl 0.86–0.96). In studied population sample of postmenopausal women the cross-sectional determinants of osteoporotic forearm fractures were smoking in the past and high total cholesterol value; body mass index protectively related to the risk of osteoporotic fractures. These findings might have implications for fracture prevention in postmenopausal women.

We explored the relationship between the copy number of mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA-CN) and all-cause natural mortality. We examined a random population sample in 2003/2005 (n = 9360, men/women, 45–69, the HAPIEE project) and followed up for 15 years. Using a nested case–control design, we selected non-external deaths among those free from baseline cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and cancer (n = 371), and a sex- and age-stratified control (n = 785). The odds ratios (ORs) of death were 1.06 (95%CI 1.01–1.11) per one-decile decrease in mtDNA-CN independent of age, sex, metabolic factors, smoking, alcohol intake and education. The age–sex-adjusted ORs of death in the second and first tertiles of mtDNA-CN vs. the top tertile were 2.35 (95% CI 1.70–3.26) and 1.59 (1.16–2.17); an increased risk was confined to the second tertile after controlling for smoking and metabolic factors. The multivariable-adjusted OR of CVD death was 1.92 (95% CI 1.18–3.15) in tertile 2 vs. the top tertile of mtDNA-CN, and for cancer-related death the ORs were 3.66 (95% CI 2.21–6.05) and 2.29 (95% CI 1.43–3.68) in tertiles 2 and 1 vs. the top tertile. In the Siberian population cohort, the mtDNA-CN was an inverse predictor of the 15-year risk of natural mortality, due to the greatest impact of CVD and cancer-related death. The findings merit attention for exploring further the role of mtDNA in human ageing and the diversity of mortality.

We aimed to analyze the profile of glucose lowering therapy (GLT) in persons with diabetes mellitus type 2 (DM2) in an aging Russian population. A random population sample (n = 3898, men/women, 55–84) was examined in Novosibirsk, during 2015–2018 (HAPIEE Project). The design of the present work is a cross-sectional study. DM2 was defined in those with a history of DM2 receiving GLT, or at a level of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥7.0 mmol/L. The entire DM2 group was included in the analysis (n = 803); of these, 476 persons were taking GLT and were included in the analysis at stage 2. Regular GLT medication intake for 12 months was coded with ATC. In studied sample, the prevalence of DM2 was 20.8%. Among subjects with DM2, 59% of individuals received GLT, 32% did not. Glycemic control (FPG < 7.0 mmol/L) was achieved in every fifth participant with DM2 (35% in those receiving GLT). In frequency of GLT use, biguanides ranked in first place (75%), sulfonylurea derivatives in second (35%), insulins in third (12%), and iDPP-4 in fourth (5%). Among those receiving GLT, 24% used combined oral therapy, and 6% used insulin-combined therapy. In conclusion, in a population sample aged 55–84 examined in 2015–2018, glycemic control was achieved in every fifth participant with DM2, and in every third participant receiving GLT. The proportion of participants using new GLT drugs was small, and there was a lack of HbA1c monitoring for intensive glycemic control.

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