Аннотация. Цель исследования. Оценка социально-экономического бремени COVID-19 в Российской Федерации (РФ). Материалы и методы. Идентификация и оценка прямых медицинских, прямых немедицинских затрат, а также косвенных расходов в связи с развитием эпидемии коронавирусной инфекции. При расчёте социально-экономического бремени был выбран вариант расчётов с учётом распространённости заболевания. Источниками данных об эпидемиологии заболевания являлись данные Минздрава и данные Правительства РФ.
The proposed algorithm for estimating the amount of medicines can be successfully used by both pharmaceutical (or dealer) companies and government agencies for objective population provision. The usual sources of such estimates are based either on market surveys or on pharmacy network data. Both ways are very expensive and do not allow predicting mass demand in the future, for example, with an unexpected epidemic or the emergence of new medicines. In addition, the proposed algorithm can be successfully applied to the pricing problem: a variation in price may show a change in the volume of use.
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