Predicting the survival of a patient with heart failure (HF) is a complex problem in clinical practice. Our previous study reported that extracellular HSP70 (HSPA1A) correlates with markers of heart function and disease severity in HF, but the predictive value of HSP70 is unclear. The goal of this study was to analyze extracellular HSP70 as predictive marker of mortality in HF. One hundred ninetyfive patients with systolic heart failure were enrolled and followed up for 60 months. By the end of follow-up, 85 patients were alive (survivors) and 110 died (nonsurvivors). HSP70 (measured by ELISA in the serum) was elevated in nonsurvivors, compared with survivors (0.39 [0.27-0.59] vs. 0.30 [0.24-0.43] ng/ml, respectively, p = 0.0101). In Kaplan-Meier survival analysis higher HSP70 levels above median were associated with a significantly increased mortality. In multivariable survival models, we show that HSP70 level above the median is an age-, sex-, body mass index-, creatinine-, and NT-proBNP-independent predictor of 5-year mortality in HF. Extracellular HSP70 could prove useful for estimating survival in patients with HF.
AimsThe low lymphocyte counts and high neutrophil leucocyte fractions have been associated with poor prognosis in chronic heart failure. We hypothesized that the baseline ratio of the neutrophil leucocytes to the lymphocytes (NL ratio) would predict the outcome of chronic heart failure patients undergoing cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT).Methods and resultsThe qualitative blood counts and the serum levels of N-terminal of the prohormone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) of 122 chronic heart failure patients and 122 healthy controls were analysed prospectively in this observational study. The 2-year mortality was considered as primary endpoint and the 6-month reverse remodelling (≥15% decrease in the end-systolic volume) as secondary endpoint. Multivariable regression analyses were applied and net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were calculated. The NL ratio was elevated in chronic heart failure patients when compared with the healthy controls [2.93 (2.12–4.05) vs. 2.21 (1.64–2.81), P < 0.0001]. The baseline NL ratio exceeding 2.95 predicted the lack of the 6-month reverse remodelling [n = 63, odds ratio = 0.38 (0.17–0.85), P = 0.01; NRI = 0.49 (0.14–0.83), P = 0.005; IDI = 0.04 (0.00–0.07), P = 0.02] and the 2-year mortality [n = 29, hazard ratio = 2.44 (1.04–5.71), P = 0.03; NRI = 0.63 (0.24–1.01), P = 0.001; IDI = 0.04 (0.00–0.08), P = 0.02] independently of the NT-proBNP levels or other factors.ConclusionThe NL ratio is elevated in chronic heart failure and predicts outcome after CRT. According to the reclassification analysis, 4% of the patients would have been better categorized in the prediction models by combining the NT-proBNP with the NL ratio. Thus, a single blood count measurement could facilitate the optimal patient selection for the CRT.
Cardiac arrest causes generalized ischaemia/hypoxia, and subsequent resuscitation inflicts reperfusion injury, the pathology of which is not fully understood. Moreover, predicting the prognosis of comatose, post-cardiac arrest patients is a complex clinical challenge. We hypothesized that the extent of complement activation might be a reliable predictor of mortality in this population. Forty-six comatose cardiac arrest patients were enrolled into our prospective cohort study, conducted in a tertiary care university clinic. All subjects were cooled to 32-34°C body temperature for 24 h and then allowed to rewarm to normothermia. All patients underwent diagnostic coronary angiography. On admission, at 6 and 24 h, blood samples were taken from the arterial catheter. In these, complement products (C3a, C3, C4d, C4, SC5b9 and Bb) were measured by ELISA in blood samples. Patients were followed up for 30 days; 22 patients (47.8%) died by the end of this period. We observed that complement activation (determined as the C3a to C3 ratio) was higher in non-survivors than in survivors at each time point. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, the C3a/C3 ratio determined 24 h after the initiation of therapeutic hypothermia predicted 30-day mortality regardless of age, sex and the APACHE II score. Complement activation occurs in post-cardiac arrest patients, and its extent correlates with 30-day survival. The C3a/C3 ratio might prove useful for estimating the prognosis of comatose postcardiac arrest patients.
BackgroundLeft ventricular hypertrophy and diastolic dysfunction are common echocardiographic features of both aortic valve stenosis (AS) and cardiac amyloidosis (CA). These two different entities therefore may mask each other. From recent years, there is a growing body of evidence about the relatively high incidence of wild-type transthyretin (wtTTR) amyloidosis in AS, but there are scarce data on the prevalence of AS in CA, particularly in AL-type amyloidosis. The echocardiographic approach to these patients is not obvious, and not evidence based. We aimed to study the prevalence, severity, and type of AS in patients with CA and also to evaluate the potential of echocardiography in the diagnostic process.MethodsBetween January 2009 and January 2019, we retrospectively analyzed the clinical and echocardiographic data, and the echocardiographic work up of 55 consecutive CA patients.Results80% of our CA patients had AL amyloidosis. We identified 5 patients (9%) with moderate to severe AS: two with moderate AS and three with low-flow, low-grade AS (LFLG AS). Further analysis of the latter three patients with dobutamine stress echocardiography revealed pseudo-severe LFLG AS in two, and true-severe AS in one patient.ConclusionThe prevalence of moderate to severe AS is 9% in our population of CA patients, the majority of whom have AL amyloidosis. Dobutamine echocardiography seems to be appropriate for the further characterization of patients with LFLG AS, even with normal ejection fraction.
Predicting the prognosis of comatose, postcardiac-arrest patients is a complex problem in clinical practice. There are several established methods to foretell neurological outcome; however, further prognostic markers are needed. HSP70 (HSPA1A), which increases rapidly in response to severe stress (among others after ischemic or hypoxic events), is a biomarker of cell damage in the ischemic brain and spinal cord. We hypothesized that HSP70 might be a reliable predictor of mortality in post-cardiacarrest patients. The aim of this study was to analyze the role of extracellular HSP70 in the systemic inflammatory response over time, as well as the predictive value in cardiac arrest patients. Here, we show that the elevation of HSP70 levels in resuscitated patients and their persistence is an independent predictor of 30-day mortality after a cardiac arrest. Forty-six cardiac arrest patients were successfully cooled to 32-34°C for 24 h, and followed up for 30 days. Twenty-four patients (52.2 %) were alive by the end of follow-up, and 22 patients (47.8 %) died. Forty-six patients with stable cardiovascular disease served as controls. Extracellular HSP70 (measured by ELISA in blood samples) was elevated in all resuscitated patients (1.31 [0.76-2.73] and 1.70 [1.20-2.37] ng/ml for survivors and nonsurvivors, respectively), compared with the controls (0.59 [0.44-0.83] ng/ml). HSP70 level decreased significantly in survivors, but persisted in non-survivors, and predicted 30-day mortality regardless of age, sex, complications, and the APACHE II score. Extracellular HSP70 could prove useful for estimating prognosis in comatose post-cardiac-arrest patients.
BackgroundProper basic life support (BLS) is key in improving the survival of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. BLS skills deteriorate in three to 6 months after training. One method to improve skill retention may be using the “testing effect” to test skills at the end of a BLS course. The aim of our study was to investigate whether either testing or the timing of such testing after BLS training have any influence on skill retention.MethodsThis was a post-test only, partial coverage, prospective quasi-experimental study designed to evaluate a BLS training course among 464 fifth year medical students at Semmelweis University in the first semester of 2013/2014. Groups were systematically but non-randomly assigned to either a control group that took no exam or one of two experimental groups that took an exam (N = 179, NoExam group; N = 165, EndExam group – exam at the end of the BLS training; N = 120, 3mExam group – exam 3 months after the BLS training). The ability to perform ten prescribed essential BLS steps was evaluated during a skill retention assessment 2 months after the course in the NoExam, 2 months after the course (and the exam) in the EndExam and 5 months after the course (2 months after the exam) in the 3mExam group to measure skill retention and the effect of our intervention. Scores were calculated for each BLS step, and also summed up as a total score. We used Kruskal-Wallis test to assess differences in skill retention.ResultsOverall, NoExam and EndExam groups showed similar skill retention. The mean total score (and many of the sub-scores) of students was significantly higher in the 3mExam group compared to both the NoExam and the EndExam groups, and there was no difference in the total score (and many of the sub-scores) of the latter two groups. The 3mExam group had less variability in total scores (and many of the sub-scores) than the other two groups.ConclusionOur study provides evidence that testing these skills 3 months after BLS training may be more effective than either testing immediately at the end of the course or no testing at all.
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