Abstract. Land use and land cover change can have effect on the land by increasing/decreasing landslide susceptibility (LS) in the mountainous areas. In the southwestern hilly and mountainous part of China, land use and land cover change (LUCC) has been taking place in the recent past due to infrastructure development and increase in economic activities. These development activities can also bring negative effects: the sloping area may become susceptible to landsliding due to undercutting of slopes. The study aims at evaluating the influence of land use and land cover change on landslide susceptibility at regional scale, based on the application of Geographic Information System (GIS) and Remote Sensing (RS) technologies. Specific objective is to answer the question: which land cover/land use change poses the highest risk so that mitigation measures can be implemented in time? The Zhushan Town, Xuanen County in the southwest of China was taken as the study area and the spatial distribution of landslides was determined from visual interpretation of aerial photographs and remote sensing images, as well as field survey. Two types of land use/land cover (LUC) maps, with a time interval covering 21 years (1992–2013), were prepared: the first was obtained through the neural net classification of images acquired in 1992, the second through the object-oriented classification of images in 2002 and 2013. Landslide susceptible areas were analyzed using logistic regression models. In this process, six landslide influencing factors were chosen as the landslide susceptibility indices. Moreover, we applied a hydrologic analysis method achieving slope unit (SU) delineation to optimize the partitioning of the terrain. The results indicate that the LUCC in the region was mainly the transformation from the grassland and arable land to the forest land and the human engineering activities land (HEAL). The areas of these two kind of LUC increased by 34.3 % and 1.9 %, respectively. The comparison of landslide susceptibility maps in various periods revealed that human engineering activities was the most important factor to increase LS in this region. Such results underline that a more reasonable land use planning in the urbanization process is necessary.
<p>Typhoon debris flows are recurrent phenomena with a high capacity to cause significant economic and life loss in the coastal areas. Accurately predicting the movement process and determining the potential zones and risk assessment are crucial to design mitigation strategies and to reduce societal and economic losses. In this study, the Wangzhuangwu (WZW) gully was chosen as the study object, which once broke out a debris flow induced by the Typhoon Likima on 10 August 2019. First, a detailed field investigation and interpretation of remote sensing imagery were carried out to study the trigger mechanism and quantify the characteristics of the debris flow. Second, the movement and deposition process of the 2019 WZW debris flow were reconstructed based on the Soil Conservation Service-curve number (SCS-CN) approach and a two-dimensional finite model (FLO-2D PRO model). The debris flow inundation and evolutionary trajectory were shown to be reasonably comparable with historical debris flows. Then, the potential hazard zones of debris flows with different recurrence intervals were determined based on the validated rheological parameters. Here we established a two-factors model that couples maximum flow depth with momentum to classify the hazard zones. Finally, we calculated the vulnerability distribution and economic risk of the buildings with different recurrence intervals based on a quantitative risk formula. This study provides a complete and efficient mean to determine the values of debris flow parameters and to implement a hazard and risk assessment based on numerical simulation. This proposed approach efficiently generated a debris flow risk distribution map that can be used for effective disaster prevention in the debris flow-prone areas.</p>
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