As the proportion of wind power in the world's electricity generation increases, improving wind power prediction accuracy is vital for making full use of wind energy and ensuring the safe and stable operation of the power grid. Given the uncertainty and volatility of wind power and the weak generalization ability of the current wind power prediction models, we propose a wind power prediction model that combines Adaboost algorithm with extreme learning machine optimized by particle swarm optimization (PSO-ELM). First, particle swarm optimization is used to optimize the initial thresholds and input weights of the ELM to obtain the PSO-ELM basic prediction model. Then, combined with the Adaboost algorithm, a series of PSO-ELM weak predictors with input weights and thresholds optimized by PSO and containing different hidden layer nodes are composed. Finally, each weak predictor is weighted and fused into a strong prediction model of wind power, and the final prediction results are output. In this paper, the Adaboost-PSO-ELM model is verified by a wind turbine's measured data in Turkey. The prediction indicators are compared with the current wind power prediction methods including optimized neural networks and ensemble learning models. The results show that the Adaboost-PSO-ELM wind power prediction model has higher accuracy and better generalization ability.

Improving the accuracy of wind power forecasting is an important measure to deal with the uncertainty and volatility of wind power. Wind speed and wind direction are the most important factors affecting the power generation of wind turbines. In this paper, we propose a wind power forecasting method that combines the sparrow search algorithm (SSA) with the deep extreme learning machine (DELM). Based on the DELM model, the length of the time series’ influence on the performance of the neural network is validated through the comparison of the forecast error indexes, and the optimal time series length of the wind power is determined. The sparrow search algorithm is used to optimize its parameters to solve the problem of random changes in model input weights and thresholds. The proposed SSA-DELM model is validated using the measured data of a certain wind turbine, and various forecasting indexes are compared with several current wind power forecasting methods. The experimental results show that the proposed model has better performance in ultra-short-term wind power forecasting, and its coefficient of determination (R²), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE) are 0.927, 69.803, and 115.446, respectively.

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