Genes with moderate to low expression heritability may explain a large proportion of complex trait etiology, but such genes cannot be sufficiently captured in conventional transcriptome-wide association studies (TWASs), partly due to the relatively small available reference datasets for developing expression genetic prediction models to capture the moderate to low genetically regulated components of gene expression. Here, we introduce a method, the Summary-level Unified Method for Modeling Integrated Transcriptome (SUMMIT), to improve the expression prediction model accuracy and the power of TWAS by using a large expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) summary-level dataset. We apply SUMMIT to the eQTL summary-level data provided by the eQTLGen consortium. Through simulation studies and analyses of genome-wide association study summary statistics for 24 complex traits, we show that SUMMIT improves the accuracy of expression prediction in blood, successfully builds expression prediction models for genes with low expression heritability, and achieves higher statistical power than several benchmark methods. Finally, we conduct a case study of COVID-19 severity with SUMMIT and identify 11 likely causal genes associated with COVID-19 severity.

Genes with moderate to low expression heritability may explain a large proportion of complex trait heritability, but these genes are insufficiently captured in transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) partly due to the relatively small available reference datasets for developing expression genetic prediction models to capture the moderate to low genetically regulated components of gene expression. Here, we introduce a new method, Summary-level Unified Method for Modeling Integrated Transcriptome (SUMMIT), to improve the expression prediction model accuracy and the power of TWAS by using a large expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) summary-level dataset. We applied SUMMIT to the eQTL summary-level data provided by the eQTLGen consortium, which involve 31,684 blood samples from 37 cohorts. Through simulation studies and analyses of GWAS summary statistics for 24 complex traits, we show that SUMMIT substantially improves the accuracy of expression prediction in blood, successfully builds expression prediction models for genes with low expression heritability, and achieves higher statistical power than several benchmark methods. In the end, we conducted a case study of COVID-19 severity with SUMMIT and identified 11 likely causal genes associated with COVID-19 severity.

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Transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) integrate gene expression prediction models and genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to identify gene-trait associations. The power of TWAS is determined by the sample size of GWAS and the accuracy of the expression prediction model. Here, we present a new method, the Summary-level Unified Method for Modeling Integrated Transcriptome using Functional Annotations (SUMMIT-FA), that improves the accuracy of gene expression prediction by leveraging functional annotation resources and a large expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) summary-level dataset. We build gene expression prediction models using SUMMIT-FA with a comprehensive functional database MACIE and the eQTL summary-level data from the eQTLGen consortium. By applying the resulting models to GWASs for 24 complex traits and exploring it through a simulation study, we show that SUMMIT-FA improves the accuracy of gene expression prediction models in whole blood, identifies significantly more gene-trait associations, and improves predictive power for identifying ''silver standard'' genes compared to several benchmark methods.

DNA methylation has been shown to be involved in the etiology of many complex diseases, yet the specific key underlying methylation sites remain largely unknown. One strategy to identify putative causal CpG sites and enhance disease etiology understanding is to conduct methylome-wide association studies (MWASs), in which predicted or measured DNA methylation that is associated with complex diseases can be identified. However, current MWAS models are trained with relatively small reference datasets, limiting the ability to adequately handle CpG sites with low genetic heritability. Here, we introduce a new resource, MWAS Imputing Methylome Obliging Summary-level mQTLs and Associated LD matrices (MIMOSA), a set of models that substantially improve the prediction accuracy of DNA methylation and subsequent MWAS power through the use of a large, summary-level mQTL dataset provided by the Genetics of DNA Methylation Consortium (GoDMC). With the analyses of GWAS summary statistics for 28 complex traits and diseases, we demonstrate that MIMOSA considerably increases the accuracy of DNA methylation prediction in blood, crafts fruitful prediction models for low heritability CpG sites, and determines markedly more CpG site-phenotype associations than preceding methods.