SummaryFor effective conservation, it is important to explore the environmental cues initiating the spawning activities of a fish species. Based on monitoring data gathered between 1998 and 2011, the relationships between spawning activities of the Chinese sturgeon, Acipenser sinensis, and several environmental cues were analyzed using the rare events logistic regression 'Relogit' method, which indicated that water temperature, 1-day Δ-discharge, and atmospheric pressure were among the key spawning cues for A. sinensis (P < 0.05). It is suggested that Chinese sturgeon might have an optimal environment window of 17-20°C water temperature, high dayto-day discharge increase, and low atmospheric pressure for spawning. In support of Chinese sturgeon reproduction, suggested modifications to the operational procedures for the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) to trigger spawning are: lowering the downstream water temperature to below 20°C before mid-October and expanding the period with water temperatures of between 17 and 20°C; to create a day-to-day intermittent increase in the discharge to an optimal spawning water temperature; and to regulate flow at nights with a low atmospheric pressure.
IntroductionEnvironmental cues related to spawning activities of fish species have received much attention (Jobling, 1995), and include photoperiod (Rubin et al., 2005), water temperature (Danilowicz, 1995;Yang et al., 2007), water discharge (Lake, 1967;Chen and Wu, 2009;Paragamian and Wakkinen, 2011;Zhang et al., 2012), velocity (Carl, 1982Zhang et al., 2007), dissolved oxygen (Taylor, 1984;Schiemer et al., 2002), and climate (Zhang et al., 2008; Str€ ussmann et al., 2010). Each species may have an 'optimal environmental window' for reproductive success and recruitment maximization (Cury and Roy, 1989;Roy et al., 1992;Baumgartner et al., 2008). For a fish population to persist, reproduction must be successful to provide new recruits (Mangel et al., 2010). Therefore, understanding the environmental cues of fish spawning is of major importance for fishery management (Bryan et al., 2006; Wright and Trippel, 2009).The Chinese sturgeon, Acipenser sinensis, normally matures at an age of 13-26 for females and 8-18 for males (Wei et al., 1997;Gao et al., 2009). Historically, the fish reproduced in the upper reaches of the Yangtze and Pearl rivers. Spawning stock of the Pearl River was small and almost extirpated within the last decades. In the Yangtze River, Chinese sturgeon spawned in the 600-800 km upper reaches from Xinshi to Fuling in October and November before the Gezhouba Dam (GD) was built in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River in 1981 (Anonymous, 1988) (Fig. 1). Since then, the Gezhouba Dam has blocked spawning migration and drastically reduced the size of the A. sinensis population to a site restricted to a 3 km reach downstream of the dam, representing <1% of the original spawning site (Gao et al. In general, the Chinese sturgeon had two spawning activities each year before the impoundment of the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) i...