SUMMARY
We model the crustal deformation caused by two long‐term subduction slip transients in southwest Japan, which we refer to as the 2000–2004 Tokai and the 2002–2004 Bungo Channel slow slip events (SSEs). We use re‐analysed GEONET position time‐series, and a Kalman filter based network inversion method to image the spatiotemporal slip variation of the two events on the plate interface during the period of 1998–2004.67 and 2000–2005. Both events are found to have complex slip histories with multiple subevents. In addition to a newly identified slip subevent in 2002–2003, we find that the major event in the Bungo Channel SSE initiated in early 2003 beneath the northeastern corner of the region and expanded southwestward, in contrast to the slip characteristics suggested by other studies. The re‐analysed GPS data in the Tokai region shows a renewed slip activity for the Tokai SSE in early 2003–2004 at a similar location as in the period of 2001–2002. The equivalent Mw for both the Tokai and Bungo Channel SSEs are about 7.0. Our results show that the Tokai SSE appears to start before the Miyaki‐Kozu seismovolcanic event. Integrating plate coupling and SSEs shows that the transient slip zones are located in a region between the locked zones and the epicentres of the low frequency earthquakes (LFEs). At least part of the interseismic slip deficit is released by episodic SSEs beneath the Bungo Channel region. We find excellent temporal correspondence between transient slip and adjacent LFEs for both SSE, suggesting that they are closely related and possibly reflect that long‐term slow slip may modulate the occurrence of LFEs.
Rapid finite fault source determination is critical for reliable and robust tsunami early warnings. Near-field Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) observations have shown value to constrain the source inversion, but real-time GNSS stations are sparse along most of the active faults. Here we propose an automatic earthquake finite source inversion (AutoQuake Inversion) algorithm jointly using near-field (epicentral distance \ 1000 km) GNSS data and mid-range (epicentral distance from 30°to 45°) teleseismic P displacement waveforms. Neither the near-field GNSS nor the mid-range teleseismic data clip or saturate during large earthquakes, while the fast-traveling P-waves are still essential to constrain the source in regions where very few or no GNSS stations are available. Real-time determination of the fault geometry remains to be the main challenge for rapid finite source inversion. We adopt a strategy to use the predefined geometry Slab2 for earthquakes within it or to forecast a focal mechanism based on nearby historical events for earthquakes without Slab2 prior. The algorithm has been implemented successfully in the prototype of JPL's GPS-Aided Tsunami Early-Detection system and tested for many real events recently. This article provides the framework of the algorithm, documents the retrospective and real-time results, and discusses remaining challenges for future improvements.
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