An earthquake is one of the most serious natural disasters to human beings. The damage from destructive earthquakes is enormous, and the predictions and estimations of earthquakes are urgent challenges in global science fields. In view of the shortcomings of the Markov chain model and the kriging methods in the estimation of the probabilities of the occurrence of earthquakes, the Markov chain–linear kriging coupling model has been established. The model has been applied to estimate the spatial distribution of probabilities of the occurrence of destructive earthquakes of Ms4.5 and Ms6.0 and above in the Sichuan area. According to the estimations of this model, the maximum probabilities of the occurrence of earthquakes of Ms4.5 and Ms6.0 and above in the Changning area of Yibin are 9.59% and 0.46%, respectively, which are close to the frequencies of occurrences of earthquakes of corresponding magnitude in the series of earthquakes that occurred in June 2019 in the region. The validation indicates that the average standard errors of this model for estimating the probabilities of the occurrence of earthquakes of Ms4.5 and Ms6.0 and above are 4.96% and 0.81%, respectively, which are lower than the probability kriging, and the estimation of this model highlighted the high value region of the probabilities.

AimsThe purpose of this study is to assess the efficacy of prophylactic negative pressure wound therapy (NPWT) in obese women undergoing caesarean section.DesignAn updated review and meta‐analysis of randomized controlled trials following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta‐Analyses guidelines.MethodsPubMed, Embase, Medline, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched from inception up to March 2022 without restriction in language. We chose surgical site infection as the primary outcome.ResultsNPWT resulted in a lower surgical site infection rate compared with conventional dressing (risk ratio [RR] = 0.76). The infection rate after low transverse incision was lower comparing the NPWT group with the control group ([RR] = 0.76). No statistically significant difference was detected in blistering([RR] = 2.91). The trial sequential analysis did not support the 20% relative decrease in surgical site infection in the NPWT group. (type II error of 20%).

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