Background The first community transmission of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Delta variant of concern (VOC) in Guangzhou, China occurred between May and June 2021. Herein, we describe the epidemiological characteristics of this outbreak and evaluate the implemented containment measures against this outbreak. Methodology/Principal findings Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention provided the data on SARS-CoV-2 infections reported between 21 May and 24 June 2021. We estimated the incubation period distribution by fitting a gamma distribution to the data, while the serial interval distribution was estimated by fitting a normal distribution. The instantaneous effective reproductive number (Rt) was estimated to reflect the transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2. Clinical severity was compared for cases with different vaccination statuses using an ordinal regression model after controlling for age. Of the reported local cases, 7/153 (4.6%) were asymptomatic. The median incubation period was 6.02 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.42–6.71) days and the means of serial intervals decreased from 5.19 (95% CI: 4.29–6.11) to 3.78 (95% CI: 2.74–4.81) days. The incubation period increased with age (P<0.001). A hierarchical prevention and control strategy against COVID-19 was implemented in Guangzhou, with Rt decreasing from 6.83 (95% credible interval [CrI]: 3.98–10.44) for the 7-day time window ending on 27 May 2021 to below 1 for the time window ending on 8 June and thereafter. Individuals with partial or full vaccination schedules with BBIBP-CorV or CoronaVac accounted for 15.3% of the COVID-19 cases. Clinical symptoms were milder in partially or fully vaccinated cases than in unvaccinated cases (odds ratio [OR] = 0.26 [95% CI: 0.07–0.94]). Conclusions/Significance The hierarchical prevention and control strategy against COVID-19 in Guangzhou was timely and effective. Authorised inactivated vaccines are likely to contribute to reducing the probability of developing severe disease. Our findings have important implications for the containment of COVID-19.

Background Studies related to the SARS-CoV-2 spikes in the past few months, while there are limited studies on the entire outbreak-suppressed cycle of COVID-19. We estimate the cause-specific excess mortality during the complete circle of COVID-19 outbreak in Guangzhou, China, stratified by sociodemographic status. Methods Guangzhou Center for Disease Control Prevention provided the individual data of deaths in Guangzhou from 1 January 2018 through 30 June 2020. We applied Poisson regression models to daily cause-specific mortality between 1 January 2018 and 20 January 2020, accounting for effects of population size, calendar time, holiday, ambient temperature and PM2.5. Expected mortality was estimated for the period from 21 January through 30 June 2020 assuming that the effects of factors aforementioned remained the same as described in the models. Excess mortality was defined as the difference between the observed mortality and the expected mortality. Subgroup analyses were performed by place of death, age group, sex, marital status and occupation class. Results From 21 January (the date on which the first COVID-19 case occurred in Guangzhou) through 30 June 2020, there were three stages of COVID-19: first wave, second wave, and recovery stage, starting on 21 January, 11 March, and 17 May 2020, respectively. Mortality deficits were seen from late February through early April and in most of the time in the recovery stage. Excesses in hypertension deaths occurred immediately after the starting weeks of the two waves. Overall, we estimated a deficit of 1051 (95% eCI: 580, 1558) in all-cause deaths. Particularly, comparing with the expected mortality in the absence of COVID-19 outbreak, the observed deaths from pneumonia and influenza substantially decreased by 49.2%, while deaths due to hypertension and myocardial infarction increased by 14.5 and 8.6%, respectively. In-hospital all-cause deaths dropped by 10.2%. There were discrepancies by age, marital status and occupation class in the excess mortality during the COVID-19 outbreak. Conclusions The excess deaths during the COVID-19 outbreak varied by cause of death and changed temporally. Overall, there was a deficit in deaths during the study period. Our findings can inform preparedness measures in different stages of the outbreak.

Background The effect of urbanization on the morbidity of hepatitis A remains unclear. We aimed to estimate the association between various urbanization-related indices and hepatitis A morbidity in China. Methods Data on the annual morbidity of hepatitis A, urbanization-related measures (i.e., gross domestic product per capita, the number of hospitalization beds per 1000 persons, illiteracy rate, tap water coverage, motor vehicles per 100 persons, population density, and the proportion of arable land), and meteorological factors in 31 provincial-level administrative divisions of Chinese mainland during 2005–2018 were collected from the National Population and Health Science Data Sharing Platform, China Statistical Yearbooks, and the China Meteorological Data Sharing Service System, respectively. Generalized linear mixed models were applied to quantify the impacts of different urbanization-related indices on the morbidity of hepatitis A in China after adjusting for covariates. Results A total of 537,466 hepatitis A cases were reported in China during 2005–2018. The annual morbidity had a decline of 79.4% from 5.64 cases to 1.16 cases per 100,000 people. There were obvious spatial variations with higher morbidity in western China. Nationally, gross domestic product per capita and the number of hospitalization beds per 1000 persons increased from 14,040 to 64,644 CNY and from 2.45 to 6.03 during 2005–2018, respectively. The illiteracy rate decreased from 11.0 to 4.9%. Gross domestic product per capita [relative risk (RR) = 0.96, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.92–0.99], and the number of hospitalization beds per 1000 persons (RR = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.75–0.83) were associated with the declined morbidity of hepatitis A. By contrast, the increased morbidity of hepatitis A was linked to the illiteracy rate (RR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02–1.06). Similar influential factors were detected for children and adults, with greater effects witnessed for children. Conclusions People in the western region suffered the heaviest burden of hepatitis A in Chinese mainland. Nationally, there was a sharp decline in the morbidity of hepatitis A. The urbanization process was associated with the reduction of hepatitis A morbidity in China during 2005–2018. Graphical Abstract

Background: High lipoprotein(a) is associated with poor prognosis in patients at high risk for cardiovascular disease. Renal function based on the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is a potential risk factor for the change of lipoprotein(a). However, the regulatory effect of eGFR stratification on lipoprotein(a)-associated mortality has not been adequately addressed.Methods: 51,500 patients who underwent coronary angiography (CAG) or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) were included from the Cardiorenal ImprovemeNt (CIN) study (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04407936). These patients were grouped according to lipoprotein(a) quartiles (Q1–Q4) stratified by eGFR categories (&lt;60 and ≥60 mL/min/1.73m2). Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for mortality across combined eGFR and lipoprotein(a) categories.Results: The mean age of the study population was 62.3 ± 10.6 years, 31.3% were female (n = 16,112). During a median follow-up of 5.0 years (interquartile range: 3.0–7.6 years), 13.0% (n = 6,695) of patients died. Compared with lipoprotein(a) Q1, lipoprotein(a) Q2–Q4 was associated with 10% increased adjusted risk of death in all patients (HR: 1.10 [95% CI: 1.03–1.17]), and was strongly associated with about 23% increased adjusted risk of death in patients with eGFR &lt;60 mL/min/1.73m2 (HR: 1.23 [95% CI: 1.08–1.39]), while such association was not significant in patients with eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73m2 (HR: 1.05 [95% CI: 0.97–1.13]). P for interaction between lipoprotein(a) (Q1 vs. Q2–Q4) and eGFR (≥60 vs. eGFR &lt;60 mL/min/1.73m2) on all-cause mortality was 0.019.Conclusions: Elevated lipoprotein(a) was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality and such an association was modified by the baseline eGFR in CAG patients. More attention should be paid to the patients with reduced eGFR and elevated lipoprotein(a), and the appropriate lipoprotein(a) intervention is required.

BackgroundThe sex difference trend of short-term mortality in coronary artery disease (CAD) is narrowing, which has been reported in the previous studies. However, no studies assess the sex difference temporal trends of CAD mortality in China especially long-term mortality trend.MethodsBased on the registry at Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital which is the largest cardiovascular center in South China, this retrospective cohort study included 24,432 hospitalized patients with CAD confirmed by coronary angiography from January 2007 to December 2014. Women and men were followed for 1-year and 5-year all-cause mortality.ResultsFrom 2007 to 2014, 5-year age-standardized mortality increased from 10.0 to 11.7% in men (p for trend &lt; 0.001) and from 11.5 to 8.1% in women (p for trend = 0.99). The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI), which compare women with men, were from 1.02 (0.39–2.67) to 0.66 (0.39–1.12) for 1-year all-cause mortality and 1.23 (0.64–2.36) to 0.59 (0.44–0.79) for 5-year all-cause mortality (p for trend = 0.04).ConclusionOur study found that the mortality risk among men and women was similar in the 1-year prognosis of CAD, and there was no significant downward trend. In the 5-year long-term prognosis of CAD, the mortality risk among men continued to rise, while women had reached the peak, which means that the mortality risk continues to be higher among men than women.