Uncertainty quantification for dynamical systems under non-white excitation is a difficult problem encountered across many scientific and engineering disciplines. Difficulties originate from the lack of Markovian character of system responses. The response–excitation (RE) theory, recently introduced by Sapsis & Athanassoulis (Sapsis & Athanassoulis 2008
Probabilistic Eng. Mech.
23, 289–306 (
doi:10.1016/j.probengmech.2007.12.028
)) and further studied by Venturi
et al.
(Venturi
et al.
2012
Proc. R. Soc. A
468, 759–783 (
doi:10.1098/rspa.2011.0186
)), is a new approach, based on a simple differential constraint which is exact but non-closed. The evolution equation obtained for the RE probability density function (pdf) has the form of a generalized Liouville equation, with the excitation time frozen in the time-derivative term. In this work, the missing information of the RE differential constraint is identified and a closure scheme is developed for the long-time, stationary, limit-state of scalar nonlinear random differential equations (RDEs) under coloured excitation. The closure scheme does not alter the RE evolution equation, but collects the missing information through the solution of local statistically linearized versions of the nonlinear RDE, and interposes it into the solution scheme. Numerical results are presented for two examples, and compared with Monte Carlo simulations.
Determining evolution equations governing the probability density function (pdf) of non-Markovian responses to random differential equations (RDEs) excited by coloured noise, is an important issue arising in various problems of stochastic dynamics, advanced statistical physics and uncertainty quantification of macroscopic systems. In the present work, such equations are derived for a scalar, nonlinear RDE under additive coloured Gaussian noise excitation, through the stochastic Liouville equation. The latter is an exact, yet non-closed equation, involving averages over the time history of the non-Markovian response. This nonlocality is treated by applying an extension of the Novikov-Furutsu theorem and a novel approximation, employing a stochastic Volterra-Taylor functional expansion around instantaneous response moments, leading to efficient, closed, approximate equations for the response pdf. These equations retain a tractable amount of nonlocality and nonlinearity, and they are valid in both the transient and long-time regimes for any correlation function of the excitation. Also, they include as special cases various existing relevant models, and generalize Hänggi's ansatz in a rational way. Numerical results for a bistable nonlinear RDE confirm the accuracy and the efficiency of the new equations. Extension to the multidimensional case (systems of RDEs) is feasible, yet laborious.
Keywords: uncertainty quantification, random differential equation, coloured noise excitation, Novikov-Furutsu theorem, Volterra-Taylor expansion, Hänggi's ansatz C(d) Validation of the proposed scheme for the linear case 43 C(e) Treatment of the nonlinear, nonlocal terms 44 Appendix D. Numerical Investigation of the range of validity of VADA genFPK equations 47References (for the Appendices) 50
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