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PurposePulmonary hypertension and exercise-induced oxygen desaturation (EID) influence acute exacerbation of COPD. Computed tomography (CT)-detected pulmonary artery (PA) enlargement is independently associated with acute COPD exacerbations. Associations between PA to aorta (PA:A) ratio and EID in patients with COPD have not been reported. We hypothesized that the PA:A ratio correlated with EID and that results of the 6-minute walk test (6MWT) would be useful for predicting the risk associated with PA:A >1.Patients and methodsWe retrospectively measured lung function, 6MWT, emphysema area, and PA enlargement on CT in 64 patients with COPD. The patients were classified into groups with PA:A ≤1 and >1. Receiver-operating characteristic curves were used to determine the threshold values with the best cutoff points to predict patients with PA:A >1.ResultsThe PA:A >1 group had lower forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1), forced vital capacity (FVC), FEV1:FVC ratio, diffusion capacity of lung carbon monoxide, 6MW distance, and baseline peripheral oxygen saturation (SpO2), lowest SpO2, highest modified Borg scale results, percentage low-attenuation area, and history of acute COPD exacerbations ≤1 year, and worse BODE (Body mass index, airflow Obstruction, Dyspnea, and Exercise) index results (P<0.05). Predicted PA:A >1 was determined for SpO2 during 6MWT (best cutoff point 89%, area under the curve 0.94, 95% confidence interval 0.88–1). SpO2 <90% during 6MWT showed a sensitivity of 93.1, specificity of 94.3, positive predictive value of 93.1, negative predictive value of 94.3, positive likelihood ratio of 16.2, and negative likelihood ratio of 0.07.ConclusionLowest SpO2 during 6MWT may predict CT-measured PA:A, and lowest SpO2 <89% during 6MWT is excellent for detecting pulmonary hypertension in COPD.

Low activity and malnutrition might lead to the development of pneumonia. FIM and GNRI are useful predictor tools that could help to prevent pneumonia in Japanese patients in long-term care facilities. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2017; 17: 1617-1622.

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PurposeA straightforward, noninvasive method is needed to assess emphysema and pulmonary hypertension (PH) in COPD patients. The desaturation–distance ratio (DDR) is an index derived from the distance traveled and level of desaturation during a six-minute walk test (6MWT); it has previously been shown to be associated with percentage of forced expiratory volume in the first second of expiration (%FEV1.0) and percentage of diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (%DLCO). The aim of this study was to examine the associations between DDR and emphysema and PH.Patients and methodsWe collected the following data for 74 stable COPD outpatients: lung function tests (%FEV1.0 and %DLCO), 6MWT distance and desaturation, and area of emphysema on computed tomography (percentage of low attenuation area). Enlargement of the pulmonary artery (PA) was assessed by the ratio of the diameter of the PA to that of the aorta (PA:A ratio) as an index of PH. DDR was calculated by the distance traveled and the degree of desaturation reached during a 6MWT. The relationships between study outcomes were assessed with Spearman’s rank-correlation analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to determine the threshold values with the optimum cutoff points for predicting severe or very severe airway obstruction, pulmonary diffusing capacity disorder, moderate or severe emphysema, and enlargement of the PA.ResultsDDR correlated significantly with %FEV1.0, %DLCO, %LAA, and PA:A ratio. DDR showed high accuracy (area under the ROC curve >0.7) for predicting severe or very severe airway obstruction, pulmonary diffusing capacity disorder, moderate or severe emphysema, and enlargement of the PA.ConclusionThe results suggest that DDR is a good index of emphysema and PH in COPD patients. The 6MWT is widely used to assess COPD, and DDR could help with the early diagnosis of COPD.

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Aim Pneumonia ranks high among the causes of death worldwide. However, the predictive values of activities of daily living, the nutrition index and the aspiration index measured objectively remain unclear. The present study aimed to examine the associations of activity, nutrition and dysphagia with pneumonia. Methods We assessed 992 hospitalized patients. Logistic regression analysis was used to examine the predictors of pneumonia. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to determine the cut‐off values of variables. Kaplan–Meier and Cox hazards regression analyses were used to examine the incidence of pneumonia and the factors associated with pneumonia. Results We finally enrolled 393 inpatients. Of the 393 patients, 102 (26.0%) had pneumonia. On logistic regression analysis, age, Functional Independence Measure (FIM)‐motor score and Mann Assessment of Swallowing Ability (MASA) score were independent predictors of pneumonia. The FIM‐motor and MASA cut‐off values were 19.5 (area under the curve 0.83, P < 0.01) and 170.5 (area under the curve 0.82, P < 0.01), respectively. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the no pneumonia rate was significantly lower among patients with FIM‐motor scores <20 than among those with FIM‐motor scores ≥20 (log–rank test, P < 0.01), and was significantly lower among patients with MASA scores <171 than among those with MASA scores ≥171 (log–rank test, P < 0.01). Cox regression analysis showed that FIM‐motor (hazard ratio 0.97, P = 0.009) and MASA scores (hazard ratio 0.99, P < 0.01) were significantly associated with pneumonia. Conclusions In addition to the infectious risk, the FIM‐motor and MASA scales are useful tools to predict the development of pneumonia in older adults. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2018; 18: 1620–1624.

BACKGROUND: There are limited longitudinal studies reporting predictive factors for decline in 6-min walk distance (6MWD) in patients with COPD. While previous studies have confirmed the association between air-flow limitation and decline in 6MWD, other factors have not been clarified. The objective of this study was to investigate whether exercise-induced oxygen desaturation (EID) could be a predictive factor for decline in 6MWD in patients with COPD. The interactive effect of air-flow limitation on the association between EID and decline in 6MWD was also investigated. METHODS: A longitudinal observational study was conducted with 71 out-patients with COPD who were followed for 1 year. 6MWD, EID, spirometry, and clinical characteristics were assessed. The effect of EID on changes in 6MWD was examined using linear regression analyses. Furthermore, the subjects were categorized into 4 groups according to their EID and air-flow limitation status, and changes in 6MWD were compared among the groups. RESULTS: 51 subjects completed the follow-up assessments, and 29 (56.9%) experienced EID. Multiple linear regression model revealed that EID was the only predictive factor for changes in 6MWD after adjusting for confounders (␤ ‫؍‬ ؊38.9, P ‫؍‬ .02). As results of multiple comparisons among the 4 groups based on EID and air-flow limitation status, changes in 6MWD in the EID and severe air-flow limitation group were the lowest. CONCLUSION: Our results revealed that EID was a predictive factor for decline in the functional capacity of subjects with COPD. The assessment of EID and air-flow limitation would thus be useful in estimating the prognosis of decline in the functional capacity of patients with COPD.