No abstract

Mathematical models have been used to simulate HIV transmission and to study the use of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for HIV prevention. Often a single intervention outcome over 10 years has been used to evaluate the effectiveness of PrEP interventions. However, different metrics express a wide variation over time and often disagree in their forecast on the success of the intervention. We develop a deterministic mathematical model of HIV transmission and use it to evaluate the public-health impact of oral PrEP interventions. We study PrEP effectiveness with respect to different evaluation methods and analyze its dynamics over time. We compare four traditional indicators, based on cumulative number or fractions of infections prevented, on reduction in HIV prevalence or incidence and propose two additional methods which estimate the burden of the epidemic to the public-health system. We investigate the short and long term behavior of these indicators and the effects of key parameters on the expected benefits from PrEP use. Our findings suggest that public-health officials considering adopting PrEP in HIV prevention programs can make better informed decision by employing a set of complementing quantitative metrics.

No abstract

This study aims to investigate the relationship between the levels of IL-18, IL-10, and MMP-9 and -137G/C polymorphism of interleukin 18 with the risk of in-stent restenosis (ISR). The study population consisted of 68 patients with ISR, 173 in non-ISR group, treated with drug-eluting stent and evaluated by coronary angiography post-procedure and at follow-up, and also 109 without angiographic evidence of coronary artery disease (CAD) which formed a reference control group (non-CAD group). The sequential plasma IL-18, IL-10, and MMP-9 levels were assessed at admission, 24 h, and 2 weeks after percutaneous coronary intervention. The -137G/C polymorphism of IL-18 was genotyped by the ligase detection reaction-polymerase chain reaction. Plasma IL-18 and MMP-9 increased significantly from admission, peaking after 24 h and fall after 2 weeks. Compared with the non-ISR group, the ISR group had higher levels of IL-18 and MMP-9, but IL-10 level was the opposite. The -137GG genotype of IL-18 was significantly higher than of the CG and CC genotypes. A significant higher frequency of -137G allele or GG genotype of IL-18 was observed in patients with ISR group compared with the non-ISR group. There is correlation between the changes of IL-18, IL-10, MMP-9, and ISR. IL-18 promoter -137G/C polymorphism influences IL-18 levels and the susceptibility to ISR, suggesting that IL-18-mediated pathways are causally involved in the process of ISR.