In order to model air quality in heavy pollution days, a dynamic emission monitoring system is implemented in the Beijing road network, which requires the input of hourly traffic flows. Floating car data (FCD) is increasingly employed for flow estimation based on the fundamental diagrams to supplement data provided by stationary detectors. However, existing studies often used a typical fundamental diagram without considering the hysteresis phenomena and the uncertainty of traffic flow estimation. This study aims to develop a multiperiod fundamental diagram for the traffic flow estimation from FCD considering the hysteresis phenomena. The result shows that the proposed multiperiod fundamental diagram can improve the accuracy of flow estimation. The uncertainty of traffic flow estimation at both 10 minutes and 1 hour is also quantified, and the result indicates that the variation of the estimation uncertainty at 1 hour is lower than that at 10 minutes, with an average 7% reduction of the range of 95% confidence interval (CI). But there is no significant difference in magnitudes of the estimation uncertainty at 1 hour compared with that at 10 minutes. Moreover, the uncertainty for congested flows is lower than that for free flows. In the case study, the proposed model is employed to develop the spatial and temporal distributions of flows and emissions for the metropolitan area in Beijing.
A detailed and accurate fuel model fuel consumption model that reflects real-world fuel consumption is required as input for devising and executing a model policy for prospective regulatory tools. The fuel consumption model based on the vehicle-specific power (VSP) has rapidly become the primary development direction since the release of the Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator (MOVES) model. However, fuel consumption cannot be accurately characterized under high-speed scenarios. This work develops two fuel consumption models for the light-duty (gasoline) vehicles that can better characterize fuel consumption for light-duty vehicles under high-speed scenarios. For model 1, the VSP of −5kW/ton is a crucial turning point. When VSP∈ [−30, −5] kW/ton, the fuel rate is only determined by speed. When VSP∈(−5, 30], the fuel rate will gradually increase with VSP, and the growth characteristics will vary with speed. Model 2 develops the new interpretations for VSP and forms the one-to-one correspondence between the fuel rate and the new VSP. The two models can separately improve the accuracy by 12.2% and 13.8% compared with the conventional model. The fuel factor differences become significant when speed is higher than 65 km/h, which are separately 30.66% and 28.13% higher than the conventional VSP model when the speed is 100 km/h. Further, the fuel factors of the two models for freeways are, respectively, 6.33% and 7.56% higher than the conventional VSP model, and the distinction for arterial, collector, and local street roads is not notable.
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