Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF). In this study, the Efficient Modular VOlume RADar Operator is applied for the assimilation of radar reflectivity data to improve short-term predictions of precipitation. Both deterministic and ensemble forecasts have been carried out. A case-study shows that the assimilation of 3D radar reflectivity data clearly improves precipitation location in the analysis and significantly improves forecasts for lead times up to 4 h, as quantified by the Brier Score and the Continuous Ranked Probability Score. The influence of different update rates on the noise in terms of surface pressure tendencies and on the forecast quality in general is investigated. The results suggest that, while high update rates produce better analyses, forecasts with lead times of above 1 h benefit from less frequent updates. For a period of seven consecutive days, assimilation of radar reflectivity based on the LETKF is compared to that of DWD's current operational radar assimilation scheme based on latent heat nudging (LHN). It is found that the LETKF competes with LHN, although it is still in an experimental phase.
Since radar observations are highly dense in spatial and temporal resolutions, they have been often used to improve short‐term numerical weather prediction (NWP) by means of detailed model verification and 3D radar data assimilation. However, the observed quantities are not directly comparable to the prognostic variables of NWP models (e.g. hydrometeor densities, wind vector, temperature, pressure, etc.), so a common approach to facilitate this comparison is to derive synthetic radar observations from model variables; this is the so‐called ‘radar forward operator’. In the present article, a new Efficient Modular VOlume scanning RADar Operator (EMVORADO) for Doppler velocity and reflectivity is introduced. Although it has been developed in the COSMO model framework, it can be also coupled online to any other NWP model. Comprehensive physical aspects of radar measurements (e.g. beam bending/broadening/shielding, Doppler velocity with fall speed and reflectivity weighting, attenuated reflectivity, detectable signal, etc.) have been implemented in a modular way, using state‐of‐the‐art methods with different levels of approximation and numerical costs that can be optionally chosen. The reflectivity derivation from the prognostic model variables is as ‘model consistent’ as possible and carefully honours the uncertainties associated with partially melted particles. Efficiency and applicability on supercomputers (MPI‐parallelism) is a major design criterion, which allows us to simulate entire networks of 3D volume‐scanning meteorological radars within one model run and makes EMVORADO well suited for operational applications. This article aims to give a thorough description of the EMVORADO and to provide a first insight to the performance of different modules by some selected case‐studies.
Simulation of radar beam propagation is an important component of numerous radar applications in meteorology, including height assignment, quality control, and especially the so-called radar forward operator. Although beam propagation in the atmosphere depends on the refractive index and its vertical variation, which themselves depend on the actual state of the atmosphere, the most common method is to apply the 4 /3 earth radius model, based on climatological standard conditions. Serious deviations from the climatological value can occur under so-called ducting conditions, where radar beams at low elevations can be trapped or propagate in a waveguide-like fashion, such that this model is unsuitable in this case. To account for the actual atmospheric conditions, sophisticated methods have been developed in literature. However, concerning the practical implementation of these methods, it was determined that the description in the literature is not always complete with respect to possible pitfalls for practical implementations.In this paper, a revised version of an existing method (one example for the above-mentioned ''pitfall'' statement) is introduced that exploits Snell's law for spherically stratified media. From Snell's law, the correct sign of the local elevation is a priori ambiguous, and the revised method explicitly applies (i) a total reflection criterion and (ii) another ad hoc criterion to solve the problem.Additionally, a new method, based on an ordinary differential equation with respect to range, is proposed in this paper that has no ambiguity.Sensitivity experiments are conducted to investigate the properties of these three methods. The results show that both the revised and new methods are robust under nonstandard conditions. But considering the need to catch an elevation sign ambiguity in the revised method (which cannot be excluded to fail in rare instances), the new method is regarded as more robust and unproblematic, for example, for applications in radar forward operators.
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