The aim of the study was to investigate the factors influencing contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) after percutaneous intervention (PCI) in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) with diabetes mellitus (DM). A total of 1073 patients with ACS combined with DM who underwent PCI at the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University were included in this study. We divided the patients into the CI-AKI and non-CI-AKI groups according to whether CI-AKI occurred or not. The patients were then randomly assigned to the training and validation sets at a proportion of 7 : 3. Based on the results of the LASSO regression and multivariate analyses, we determined that the subtypes of ACS, age, multivessel coronary artery disease, hyperuricemia, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglyceride-glucose index, and estimated glomerular filtration rate were independent predictors on CI-AKI after PCI in patients with ACS combined with DM. Using the above indicators to develop the nomogram, the AUC-ROC of the training and validation sets were calculated to be 0.811 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.766-0.844) and 0.773 (95% CI: 0.712-0.829), respectively, indicating high prediction efficiency. After verification by the Bootstrap internal verification, we found that the calibration curves showed good agreement between the nomogram predicted and observed values. And the DCA results showed that the nomogram had a high clinical application. In conclusion, we constructed and validated the nomogram to predict CI-AKI risk after PCI in patients with ACS and DM. The model can provide a scientific reference for predicting the occurrence of CI-AKI and improving the prognosis of patients.
The high incidence of readmission for patients with reduced ejection fraction heart failure (HFrEF) can seriously affect the prognosis. In this study, we aimed to build a simple predictive model to predict the risk of heart failure (HF) readmission in patients with HFrEF within one year of discharge from the hospital. This retrospective study enrolled patients with HFrEF evaluated in the Heart Failure Center of the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from January 2018 to December 2020. The patients were allocated into the readmission or nonreadmission group, according to whether HF readmission occurred within 1 year of hospital discharge. Subsequently, all patients were randomly divided into training and validation sets in a 7 : 3 ratio. A nomogram was established according to the results of univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Finally, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to validate the nomogram. Independent risk factors for HF readmission of patients with HFrEF within 1 year of hospital discharge were as follows: age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, diabetes mellitus, left ventricular ejection fraction, and angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors. The AUC-ROC of the training and validation sets were 0.833 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.793-0.866) and 0.794 (95% CI: 0.727-0.852), respectively, which have an excellent distinguishing ability. The predicted and observed values of the calibration curve also showed good consistency. DCA also confirmed that the nomogram had good clinical value. In conclusion, we constructed an accurate and straightforward nomogram model for predicting the 1-year HF readmission risk in patients with HFrEF. This nomogram can guide early clinical intervention and improve patient prognosis.
Objectives The occurrence of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) can greatly affect the prognosis of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We aimed to construct a nomogram to predict the probability of PAH development in patients with stage 3–5 CKD to guide early intervention and to improve prognosis. Methods From August 2018 to December 2021, we collected the data of 1258 patients with stage 3–5 CKD hospitalized at the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University as a training set and 389 patients hospitalized at Zhongda Hospital as a validation set. These patients were divided into PAH and N-PAH groups with pulmonary arterial systolic pressure ≥ 35 mmHg as the cutoff. The results of univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to establish the nomogram. Then, areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROCs), a calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to validate the nomogram. Results The nomogram included nine variables: age, diabetes mellitus, hemoglobin, platelet count, serum creatinine, left ventricular end-diastolic diameter, left atrial diameter, main pulmonary artery diameter and left ventricular ejection fraction. The AUC-ROCs of the training set and validation set were 0.801 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.771–0.830) and 0.760 (95% CI 0.699–0.818), respectively, which showed good discriminative ability of the nomogram. The calibration diagram showed good agreement between the predicted and observed results. DCA also demonstrated that the nomogram could be clinically useful. Conclusion The evaluation of the nomogram model for predicting PAH in patients with CKD based on risk factors showed its ideal efficacy. Thus, the nomogram can be used to screen for patients at high risk for PAH and has guiding value for the subsequent formulation of prevention strategies and clinical treatment.
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