Objectives: This study aimed to explore the predictive value of MRI-based radiomic model for progression-free survival (PFS) in nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Methods: A total of 327 nonmetastatic NPC patients [training cohort (n = 230) and validation cohort (n = 97)] were enrolled. The clinical and MRI data were collected. The least absolute shrinkage selection operator (LASSO) and recursive feature elimination (RFE) were used to select radiomic features. Five models [Model 1: clinical data, Model 2: overall stage, Model 3: radiomics, Model 4: radiomics + overall stage, Model 5: radiomics + overall stage + Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA] were constructed. The prognostic performances of these models were evaluated by Harrell's concordance index (C-index). The Kaplan-Meier method was applied for the survival analysis. Results : Model 5 incorporating radiomics, overall stage, and EBV DNA yielded the highest C-indices for predicting PFS in comparison with Model 1, Model 2, Model 3, and Model 4 (training cohorts: 0.805 vs. 0.766 vs. 0.749 vs. 0.641 vs. 0.563, validation cohorts: 0.874 vs. 0.839 vs. 836 vs. 0.689 vs. 0.456). The survival curve showed that the high-risk group yielded a lower PFS than the low-risk group. Conclusions:The model incorporating radiomics, overall stage, and EBV DNA showed better performance for predicting PFS in nonmetastatic NPC patients.

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Background: Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients with a high tumor grade, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), or perineural invasion (PNI) tend to demonstrate a poor prognosis in clinical series. Thus, the identification of histopathological features, including tumor grade, LVI, and PNI, before treatment could be used to stratify the prognosis of patients with HNSCC. This study aimed to assess whether quantitative parameters derived from pretreatment dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) can predict the histopathological features of patients with HNSCC.Methods: In this study, 72 consecutive patients with pathologically confirmed HNSCC were enrolled and underwent dual-phase (noncontrast-enhanced phase and contrast-enhanced phase) DECT examinations.Normalized iodine concentration (NIC), the slope of the spectral Hounsfield unit curve (λ HU ), and normalized effective atomic number (NZ eff ) were calculated. The attenuation values on 40-140 keV noiseoptimized virtual monoenergetic images [VMIs (+)] in the contrast-enhanced phase were recorded. The diagnostic performance of the quantitative parameters for predicting histopathological features, including tumor grade, LVI, and PNI, was assessed by receiver operating characteristic curves. Results:The NIC, λ HU , NZ eff , and attenuation value on the VMIs (+) at 40 keV (A 40 ) in the grade III group, LVI-positive group, and PNI-positive group were significantly higher than those in the grade I and II groups, the LVI-negative group, and the PNI-negative group (all P values <0.05). A multivariate logistic regression model combining these 4 quantitative parameters improved the diagnostic performance of the model in predicting tumor grade, LVI, and PNI (areas under the curve: 0.969, 0.944, and 0.931, respectively).Conclusions: Quantitative parameters derived from pretreatment DECT, including NIC, λ HU , NZ eff , and A 4,0 were found to be imaging markers for predicting the histopathological characteristics of HNSCC.Combining all these characteristics improved the predictive performance of the model.