This article investigates the application of Kalman filter with discrete wavelet analysis in short-term traffic volume forecasting. Short-term traffic volume data are often corrupted by local noises, which may significantly affect the prediction accuracy of short-term traffic volumes. Discrete wavelet decomposition analysis is used to divide the original data into several approximate and detailed data such that the Kalman filter model can then be applied to the denoised data and the prediction accuracy can be improved. Two types of wavelet Kalman filter models based on Daubechies 4 and Haar mother wavelets are investigated. Traffic volume data collected from four different locations are used for comparison in this study. The test results show that both proposed wavelet Kalman filter models outperform the direct Kalman filter model in terms of mean absolute percentage error and root mean square error.

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Driver behaviors, particularly lane-changing behaviors, have an important effect on the safety and throughput of the roadway-vehicle-based transportation system. Lane-changing models are a vital component of various microscopic traffic simulation tools, which are extensively used and playing an increasingly important role in Intelligent Transportation Systems studies. The authors conducted a detailed review and systematic comparison of existing microscopic lane-changing models that are related to roadway traffic simulation to provide a better understanding of respective properties, including strengths and weaknesses of the lane-changing models, and to identify potential for model improvement using existing and emerging data collection technologies. Many models have been developed in the last few decades to capture the uncertainty in lane change modeling; however, lane-changing behavior in the real world is very complex due to driver distraction (e.g., texting and cellphone or smartphone use) and environmental (e.g., pavement and lighting conditions) and geometric (e.g., horizontal and vertical curves) factors of the roadway, which have not been adequately considered in existing models. Therefore, large and detailed microscopic vehicle trajectory data sets are needed to develop new lane changing models that address these issues, and to calibrate and validate lane-changing models for representing the real world reliably. Possible measures to improve the accuracy and reliability of lane-changing models are also discussed in this paper.Index Terms-Driver behavior, lane-changing models.

Predictions for short-term traffic volume provide important inputs for traveler information and traffic management. Traffic volumes in the near future are often estimated based on historical volumes. Because of the complicated nonlinear relationship between historical and future traffic volume data, many previous studies used neural networks to predict short-term traffic volumes. In this research, a v-support vector machine (v-SVM) model, which has the particular strength of overcoming local minima and overfitting common to neural network models, is proposed for short-term traffic volume prediction. The v-SVM model is compared with a widely used multilayer feed-forward neural network (MLFNN) model using four data sets collected from three interstate freeways. Testing results show that for both one-step and two-step forecasting, the v-SVM model outperforms the MLFNN model for all data sets in terms of mean absolute percentage error and root-mean-square error. Key issues in applying both models are also discussed in this article.

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