BackgroundThe Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score is a widely recognized tool for predicting adverse cardiovascular events in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). The triglyceride-glucose index (TyG index) is a new biomarker of insulin resistance and has a close association with the occurrence of adverse cardiovascular events. We investigated whether the addition of the TyG index to the GRACE score could improve prognosis prediction in patients with NSTE-ACS undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).MethodsIn total, 515 patients with NSTE-ACS undergoing PCI were included in this retrospective study. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to describe the cumulative incidence of the primary endpoint based on the median TyG index. The relationship between the TyG index and GRACE score was analyzed using Spearman's rank correlation. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to identify independent risk factors. Based on the receiver operating characteristic curve, net reclassification improvement (NRI), integrated differentiation improvement (IDI), and decision curve analysis, the TyG index was evaluated for its predictive value when added to the GRACE score. ROC curve analyses, NRI, and IDI were used to compare the gain effect of the TyG index and the levels of HbA1C, FBG, TG, and LDL-C on the GRACE score for predicting adverse cardiovascular events.ResultsThe TyG index was an independent predictor of 2-year adverse cardiovascular events in patients with NSTE-ACS undergoing PCI. The addition of the TyG index to the GRACE score demonstrated an improved ability to predict 2-year adverse cardiovascular events compared with the GRACE score alone (AUCs: GRACE score 0.798 vs. GRACE score+TyG index 0.849, P = 0.043; NRI = 0.718, P < 0.001; IDI = 0.086, P < 0.001). The decision curve analysis suggested that the clinical net benefit of the new model (GRACE score+TyG index) was superior to that of the GRACE score alone, with a probability range of 0.04 to 0.32. When including the TyG index, HbA1C, FBG, TG, and LDL-C in the GRACE score system, we found that the TyG index had a greater incremental impact on risk prediction and stratification compared to the other parameters.ConclusionCombining the TyG index and GRACE score could improve the prediction of 2-year adverse cardiovascular events. This new risk model could identify patients with NSTE-ACS at higher risk of adverse events following PCI so that they can be monitored more carefully.
BackgroundVentricular septal rupture (VSR) is a type of cardiac rupture, usually complicated by acute myocardial infarction (AMI), with a high mortality rate and often poor prognosis. The aim of our study was to investigate the factors influencing the long-term prognosis of patients with VSR from different aspects, comparing the evaluation performance of the Gensini score, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and European Heart Surgery Risk Assessment System II (EuroSCORE II) score systems.MethodsThis study retrospectively enrolled 188 patients with VSR between Dec 9, 2011 and Nov 21, 2021at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University. All patients were followed up until Jan 27, 2022 for clinical data, angiographic characteristics, echocardiogram outcomes, intraoperative, postoperative characteristics and major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) (30-day mortality, cardiac readmission). Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to explore the predictors of long-term mortality.ResultsThe median age of 188 VSR patients was 66.2 ± 9.1 years and 97 (51.6%) were males, and there were 103 (54.8%) patients in the medication group, 34 (18.1%) patients in the percutaneous transcatheter closure (TCC) group, and 51 (27.1%) patients in the surgical repair group. The average follow-up time was 857.4 days. The long-term mortality of the medically managed group, the percutaneous TCC group, and the surgical repair group was 94.2, 32.4, and 35.3%, respectively. Whether combined with cardiogenic shock (OR 0.023, 95% CI 0.001–0.054, P = 0.019), NT-pro BNP level (OR 0.027, 95% CI 0.002–0.34, P = 0.005), EuroSCORE II (OR 0.530, 95% CI 0.305–0.918, P = 0.024) and therapy group (OR 3.518, 95% CI 1.079–11.463, P = 0.037) were independently associated with long-term mortality in patients with VSR, and this seems to be independent of the therapy group. The mortality rate of surgical repair after 2 weeks of VSR was much lower than within 2 weeks (P = 0.025). The cut-off point of EuroSCORE II was determined to be 14, and there were statistically significant differences between the EuroSCORE II < 14 group and EuroSCORE II≥14 group (HR = 0.2596, 95%CI: 0.1800–0.3744, Logrank P < 0.001).ConclusionPatients with AMI combined with VSR have a poor prognosis if not treated surgically, surgical repair after 2 weeks of VSR is a better time. In addition, EuroSCORE II can be used as a scoring system to assess the prognosis of patients with VSR.
BackgroundFulminant myocarditis (FM) is a critical disease with high early mortality. Low triiodothyronine syndrome (LT3S) was a strong predictor of poor prognosis of critical diseases. This study investigated whether LT3S was associated with 30-day mortality in FM patients.MethodsNinety-six FM patients were divided into LT3S (n=39, 40%) and normal free triiodothyronine (FT3) (n=57, 60%) groups based on serum FT3 level. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of 30-day mortality. Kaplan–Meier curve was used to compare 30-day mortality between two groups. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the value of FT3 level for 30-day mortality prediction.ResultsCompared to normal FT3 group, LT3S group had higher incidence of ventricular arrhythmias, worse hemodynamics, worse cardiac function, more severe kidney impairment, and higher 30-day mortality (48.7% vs. 12.3%, P<0.001). In univariable analysis, LT3S (odds ratio [OR]:6.786, 95% confidence interval [CI]:2.472-18.629, P<0.001) and serum FT3 (OR:0.272, 95%CI:0.139-0.532, P<0.001) were significant strong predictors of 30-day mortality. After adjustment for confounders in multivariable analysis, LT3S (OR:3.409, 95%CI:1.019-11.413, P=0.047) and serum FT3 (OR:0.408, 95%CI:0.199-0.837, P=0.014) remained independent 30-day mortality predictors. The area under the ROC curve of FT3 level was 0.774 (cut-off: 3.58, sensitivity: 88.46%, specificity: 62.86%). In DCA, FT3 level showed good clinical-application value for 30-day mortality prediction.ConclusionIn FM patients, LT3S could independently predict 30-day mortality. FT3 level was a strong 30-day mortality predictor and a potentially useful risk-stratification biomarker.
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