In this paper we derive the asymptotic properties of the least squares estimator (LSE) of fractionally integrated autoregressive moving-average (FARIMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent nor martingale differences. We relax considerably the independence and even the martingale difference assumptions on the innovation process to extend the range of application of the FARIMA models. We propose a consistent estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix of the LSE which may be very different from that obtained in the standard framework. A self-normalized approach to confidence interval construction for weak FARIMA model parameters is also presented. All our results are done under a mixing assumption on the noise. Finally, some simulation studies and an application to the daily returns of stock market indices are presented to corroborate our theoretical work.
We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of gradient boosting algorithms when the learning rate converges to zero and the number of iterations is rescaled accordingly. We mostly consider L 2 -boosting for regression with linear base learner as studied in Bühlmann and Yu (2003) and analyze also a stochastic version of the model where subsampling is used at each step (Friedman, 2002). We prove a deterministic limit in the vanishing learning rate asymptotic and characterize the limit as the unique solution of a linear differential equation in an infinite dimensional function space. Besides, the training and test error of the limiting procedure are thoroughly analyzed. We finally illustrate and discuss our result on a simple numerical experiment where the linear L 2 -boosting operator is interpreted as a smoothed projection and time is related to its number of degrees of freedom.
Discrete kernel smoothing is now gaining importance in nonparametric statistics. In this paper, we investigate some asymptotic properties of the normalized discrete associated-kernel estimator of a probability mass function. We show, under some regularity and nonrestrictive assumptions on the associated-kernel, that the normalizing random variable converges in mean square to 1. We then derive the consistency and the asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator. Various families of discrete kernels already exhibited satisfy the conditions, including the refined CoM-Poisson which is underdispersed and of second-order. Finally, the first-order binomial kernel is discussed and, surprisingly, its normalized estimator has a suitable asymptotic behaviour through simulations.
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