Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread worldwide. To date, no specific drug for COVID-19 has been developed. Thus, this randomized, open-label, controlled clinical trial (ChiCTR2000029853) was performed in China. A total of 20 mild and common COVID-19 patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to receive azvudine and symptomatic treatment (FNC group), or standard antiviral and symptomatic treatment (control group). The mean times of the first nucleic acid negative conversion (NANC) of ten patients in the FNC group and ten patients in the control group are 2.60 (SD 0.97; range 1-4) d and 5.60 (SD 3.06; range 2-13) d, respectively (p = 0.008). The mean times of the first NANC of four newly diagnosed subjects in the FNC group and ten subjects in the control group are 2.50 (SD 1.00; range 2-4) d and 9.80 (SD 4.73; range 3-19) d, respectively (starting from the initial treatment) (p = 0.01). No adverse events occur in the FNC group, while three adverse events occur in the control group (p = 0.06). The preliminary results show that FNC treatment in the mild and common COVID-19 may shorten the NANC time versus standard antiviral treatment. Therefore, clinical trials of FNC treating COVID-19 with larger sample size are warranted.
An integrated computational uid dynamics (CFD) and computational structural dynamics (CSD) method is developed for the simulation and prediction of utter. The CFD solver is based on an unsteady, parallel, multiblock, multigrid nite volume algorithm for the Euler/Navier-Stokes equations. The CSD solver is based on the time integration of modal dynamic equations extracted from full nite element analysis. A general multiblock deformation grid method is used to generate dynamically moving grids for the unsteady ow solver. The solutions of the oweld and the structural dynamics are coupled strongly in time by a fully implicit method. The coupled CFD-CSD method simulates the aeroelastic system directly on the time domain to determine the stability of the aeroelastic system. The unsteady solver with the moving grid algorithm is also used to calculate the harmonic and/or indicial responses of an aeroelastic system, in an uncoupled manner, without solving the structural equations. Flutter boundary is then determined by solving the utter equation on the frequency domain with the indicial responses as input. Computations are performed for a two-dimensional wing aeroelastic model and the three-dimensional AGARD 445.6 wing. Flutter boundary predictions by both the coupled CFD-CSD method and the indicial method are presented and compared with experimental data for the AGARD 445.6 wing.
Satellite precipitation products from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission and its predecessor the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) are a critical data source for hydrological applications in ungauged basins. This study conducted an initial and early evaluation of the performance of the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) final run and the TRMM Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis 3B42V7 precipitation products, and their feasibility in streamflow simulations in the Chindwin River basin, Myanmar, from April 2014 to December 2015 was also assessed. Results show that, although IMERG and 3B42V7 can potentially capture the spatiotemporal patterns of historical precipitation, the two products contain considerable errors. Compared with 3B42V7, no significant improvements were found in IMERG. Moreover, 3B42V7 outperformed IMERG at daily and monthly scales and in heavy rain detections at four out of five gauges. The large errors in IMERG and 3B42V7 distinctly propagated to streamflow simulations via the Xinanjiang hydrological model, with a significant underestimation of total runoff and high flows. The bias correction of the satellite precipitation effectively improved the streamflow simulations. The 3B42V7-based streamflow simulations performed better than the gauge-based simulations. In general, IMERG and 3B42V7 are feasible for use in streamflow simulations in the study area, although 3B42V7 is better suited than IMERG.
Six global climate models (GCMs) from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 under three Respectively Concentration Pathways (RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) were used to assess the impact of climate change on streamflow for the Huangnizhuang catchment (HNZ) in China. Change factor method was used for bias correction between GCM outputs and observations and the SWAT model was used to simulate the hydrological processes. The results indicated that the SWAT model performed well in the study catchment with a monthly Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NS) of 0.93 and 0.91 and daily NS of 0.63 and 0.68 for calibration and validation periods respectively. Their corresponding relative errors were -2.2 and 8.9, and -2.6 and 8.5 % respectively. The ensemble of multi-GCMs projected an increase of precipitation in the middle and end of twenty-first century over the HNZ, ranging from -2.4 to 9 %. However, streamflow is likely to decline in the future, ranging -6.9 to 0.8 %, mainly due to an increase of evapotranspiration in a warming world, as air temperature shows steadily increases for all the GCMs and RCPs. Average monthly streamflow from six GCMs are likely to increase in August and September but decline from October to June. The associated uncertainties of the reported results were also discussed. It includes, but is not limit to, different GCMs, emissions scenarios, downscaling techniques as well as hydrological simulations. The results of this study can inform planning of long-term basin water management strategies taking into account global change scenarios.
Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) and its successor, Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM), have provided hydrologists with important precipitation data sources for hydrological applications in sparsely gauged or ungauged basins. This study proposes a framework for statistical and hydrological assessment of the TRMM-and GPM-era satellite-based precipitation products (SPPs) in both near-and post-real-time versions at sub-daily temporal scales in a poorly gauged watershed in Myanmar. It evaluates six of the latest GPM-era SPPs: Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) "Early", "Late", and "Final" run SPPs (IMERG-E, IMERG-L, and IMERG-F, respectively), and Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP) near-real-time (GSMaP-NRT), standard version (GSMaP-MVK), and standard version with gauge-adjustment (GSMaP-GAUGE) SPPs, and two TRMM Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis SPPs (3B42RT and 3B42V7). Statistical assessment at grid and basin scales shows that 3B42RT generally presents higher quality, followed by IMERG-F and 3B42V7. IMERG-E, IMERG-L, GSMaP-NRT, GSMaP-MVK, and GSMaP-GAUGE largely underestimate total precipitation, and the three GSMaP SPPs have the lowest accuracy. Given that 3B42RT demonstrates the best quality among the evaluated four near-real-time SPPs, 3B42RT obtains satisfactory hydrological performance in 3-hourly flood simulation, with a Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient (NSE) of 0.868, and it is comparable with the rain-gauge-based precipitation data (NSE = 0.895). In terms of post-real-time SPPs, IMERG-F and 3B42V7 demonstrate acceptable hydrological utility, and IMERG-F (NSE = 0.840) slightly outperforms 3B42V7 (NSE = 0.828). This study found that IMERG-F demonstrates comparable or even slightly better accuracy in statistical and hydrological evaluations in comparison with its predecessor, 3B42V7, indicating that GPM-era IMERG-F is the reliable replacement for TRMM-era 3B42V7 in the study area. The GPM scientific community still needs to further refine precipitation retrieving algorithms and improve the accuracy of SPPs, particularly IMERG-E, IMERG-L, and GSMaP SPPs, because ungauged basins urgently require accurate and timely precipitation data for flood control and disaster mitigation.
Abstract:The Ejina Basin is an extremely arid subwatershed in Northwest China. The predominant natural tree species in the area, Populus euphratica, depends on groundwater for sustenance. In recent decades, groundwater overdraft and increased water diversions from the Heihe River caused water table elevations to decline, such that large areas of P. euphratica have withered, creating a highly visible symbol of ecological change and desertification in the Ejina Basin. Ecological restoration efforts aimed at saving existing woodlands and cultivating new stands of P. euphratica are underway. To provide a better scientific basis for ecological restoration plans, it is necessary to understand the effect of water table elevation on P. euphratica water uptake. In this work, we used the HYDRUS-1D software package to study groundwater movement into the root zone and the uptake of groundwater in a 10-year-old P. euphratica woodland. Additionally, we examined the changes in uptake that would occur for different water table elevations. The model calibration was confirmed by comparing predicted soil moisture contents during the P. euphratica growing season with field measured values. The results indicate that in 2000, with an average water table depth of 2Ð64 m, P. euphratica at the study site obtained about 53% of its water from groundwater during the middle part of the growing season (day of year 160-290). Simulations made with constant water table depths found that increasing the water table depth from 2 to 3 metres resulted in a 74% reduction in transpiration. Many factors can influence the optimal water table depth at a given site. An advantage of the modelling approach is that these factors can be systematically varied, creating a site-specific impact assessment of water management options that may alter water table depths, thus aiding ecological restoration efforts.
Abstract:This study aimed to statistically and hydrologically assess the performance of the four latest and widely used satellite-gauge combined precipitation estimates (SGPEs), namely CRT (CMORPH CRT), BLD (CMORPH BLD), CDR (PERSIANN CDR), 3B42 (TMPA 3B42 version 7) over the upper yellow river basins (UYRB) in china during 2001-2012 time period. The performances of the SGPEs were compared with the Chinese Meteorological Administration (CMA) datasets using the hydrologic model called Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) which is known as a land surface hydrologic model. Results indicated that irrespective of the slight underestimation in the western mountains and overestimation in the southeast, the four SGPEs could generally captured the spatial distribution of precipitation well. Although 3B42 exhibited a better performance in capturing the spatial distribution of daily average precipitation, BLD agreed best with CMA in the time series of watershed average precipitation, which resulted in BLD having a comparable performance to the CMA in the long-term hydrological simulations. Moreover, the potential for disastrous heavy rain mainly occurs in southeastern corner of the basin, and CRT and BLD comparisons showed to be closer to the CMA in the distribution of extreme precipitation events while 3B42 and CDR overestimated the extreme precipitation especially over the southeast of UYRB region. Therefore, CRT and BLD were able to match the high peak discharges very well for the wet seasons, while 3B42 and CDR overrated the high peak discharges. In addition, the four SGPEs performed well for the 2005 flood event but exhibited poorly when tested for the 2012 flood event. Results indicate that the application of the four SGPEs should be used with caution in simulating massive flood events over UYRB region.
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