Ship trajectory prediction is a key requisite for maritime navigation early warning and safety, but accuracy and computation efficiency are major issues still to be resolved. The research presented in this paper introduces a deep learning framework and a Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU) model to predict vessel trajectories. First, series of trajectories are extracted from Automatic Identification System (AIS) ship data (i.e., longitude, latitude, speed, and course). Secondly, main trajectories are derived by applying the Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN) algorithm. Next, a trajectory information correction algorithm is applied based on a symmetric segmented-path distance to eliminate the influence of a large number of redundant data and to optimize incoming trajectories. A recurrent neural network is applied to predict real-time ship trajectories and is successively trained. Ground truth data from AIS raw data in the port of Zhangzhou, China were used to train and verify the validity of the proposed model. Further comparison was made with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. The experiments showed that the ship’s trajectory prediction method can improve computational time efficiency even though the prediction accuracy is similar to that of LSTM.
The successful emergence of real-time positioning systems in the maritime domain has favored the development of data infrastructures that provide valuable monitoring and decision-aided systems. However, there is still a need for the development of data mining approaches oriented to the detection of specific patterns such as unusual ship behaviors and collision risks. This research introduces a CSBP (complex ship behavioral pattern) mining model aiming at the detection of ship patterns. The modeling approach first integrates ship trajectories from automatic identification system (AIS) historical data, then categorizes different vessels’ navigation behaviors, and introduces a visual-oriented framework to characterize and highlight such patterns. The potential of the model is illustrated by a case study applied to the Jiangsu and Zhejiang waters in China. The results show that the CSBP mining model can highlight complex ships’ behavioral patterns over long periods, thus providing a valuable environment for supporting ship traffic management and preventing maritime accidents.
This study is concerned with the H∞ control problem for singular neutral system based on sampled-data. By input delay approach and a composite state-derivative control law, the singular system is turned into a singular neutral system with time-varying delay. Less conservative result is derived for the resultant system by incorporating the delay decomposition technique, Wirtinger-based integral inequality, and an augmented Lyapunov-Krasovskii functional. Sufficient conditions are derived to guarantee that the resulting system is regular, impulse-free, and asymptotically stable with prescribed H∞ performance. Then, the H∞ sampled-data controller is designed by means of linear matrix inequalities. Finally, two simulation results have shown that the proposed method is effective.
To improve the accuracy of ship track prediction, the improved Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) and Support Vector Regression (SVR) models are incorporated for ship track prediction. The hunting strategy of dimensional learning was used to optimize the move search process of GWO and balance exploration and exploitation while maintaining population diversity. Selection and updating procedures keep GWO from being stuck in locally optimal solutions. The optimal parameters obtained by modified GWO were substituted into the SVR model to predict ship trajectory. Dimension Learning Grey Wolf Optimizer and Support Vector Regression (DLGWO-SVR), Grey Wolf Optimized Support Vector Regression (GWO-SVR), and Differential Evolution Grey Wolf Optimized Support Vector Regression (DEGWO-SVR) model trajectory prediction simulations were carried out. A comparison of the results shows that the trajectory prediction model based on DLGWO-SVR has higher prediction accuracy and meets the requirements of ship track prediction. The results of ship track prediction can not only improve the efficiency of marine traffic management but also prevent the occurrence of traffic accidents and maintain marine safety.
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