Background: Accurately predicting outcomes for patients with breast cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is critical for clinical decisions. Prognostic models applicable to the Chinese population remain limited. The Neo-Bioscore staging system has been utilized as a predictive model for survival of breast cancer patients after NAC. This study aimed to validate the applicability of Neo-Bioscore in a Chinese population and develop an improved staging system based on it to predict prognosis of Chinese patients more accurately. Methods: This study retrospectively collected clinicopathological and survival data in patients receiving NAC from February 2005 to August 2018 in PLA General Hospital. Discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness were used to assess model performance. Univariate and multivariate analyses assessed relationships between clinicopathological factors and disease-specific survival. For model modification, postoperative pathological staging in the Neo-Bioscore was substituted with the posttreatment pathological tumor (ypT) stage and posttreatment pathological lymph node (ypN) stage. Neo-Bioscore and Modified Neo-Bioscore were compared with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system.Results: A total of 436 patients with a median follow-up of 67 months were included. Five-year diseasespecific survival (DSS), overall survival, and disease-free survival rates were 88.0%, 87.9%, and 76.8%, respectively. The concordance index (C-index) of the Neo-Bioscore staging system, posttreatment pathological stage (PS), and pretreatment clinical stage (CS) for DSS were 0.78 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.72-0.83], 0.75 (95% CI: 0.69-0.82), and 0.68 (95% CI: 0.62-0.74), respectively. No significant difference between the Neo-Bioscore and PS was observed in the C-index (P=0.399). ypT and ypN were included in Neo-Bioscore to replace PS and create a modified staging system named MNeo-Bioscore. The C-index for DSS of the MNeo-Bioscore was 0.82 (95% CI: 0.78-0.87), and the calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) curve performed well in internal validation. Conclusions:The Neo-Bioscore staging system provided precise prognostic stratification for Chinese breast cancer patients receiving NAC; ypN and ypT stage may be substituted for PS to add significant prognostic value for Neo-Bioscore.
Background: The rapid development of early diagnostic methods and systematic treatment for breast cancer have shed lights on the insight of prognosis of breast-conserving therapy versus mastectomy.However, there are relatively few studies with long-term follow-up, large patient cohort and under the contemporary setting in China on the subject of survival of patients undergoing breast conserving therapy versus mastectomy.Methods: Data on the cases of breast-conserving therapy and mastectomy for breast cancer from October 1, 2005 to September 31, 2010 were retrieved from the breast cancer database of Chinese PLA General Hospital. The clinicopathological characteristics of patients were compared by chi-square test or Fisher's exact test. Breast cancer-specific survival, disease-free survival, local recurrence-free survival, loco-regional recurrence-free survival, and distant metastasis-free survival were calculated and compared by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank test firstly. And then Cox Proportional-Hazards model was used for multivariate analysis.Results: There were 296 patients in the breast-conserving surgery group and 675 patients in the mastectomy group. For patients with invasive breast cancer in the entire cohort, the 10-year breast cancerspecific survival rate of patients in the breast-conserving surgery group at stage I-II was significantly higher than that of the mastectomy group. However, surgical method was not an independent prognostic factor for breast cancer-specific survival, disease-free survival and local recurrence-free survival. Moreover, N stage and luminal B-like subtype were independent prognostic factors for the breast cancer-specific survival of invasive breast cancer in the entire cohort.Conclusions: This study suggests that there is no significant difference in breast cancer-specific survival between breast cancer patients undergoing breast-conserving surgery and mastectomy after adjusting for confounding factors. Lymph node staging is the major risk factor affecting patients' survival. In this case, choosing patients with smaller tumor size, avoiding patients with stage N3, and removing a smaller volume of breast tissue including tumors while ensuring negative margins may reduce the patient's risk of local recurrence and loco-regional recurrence.
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