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PurposeOur study aimed to establish and validate prognostic nomograms based on gross tumor volume (GTV) and cervical nodal volume (CNV) for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients treated with two cycles of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT).MethodsFrom 2012 to 2015, 620 eligible patients who received radical treatment at the Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College were recruited for a nomogram study. Variables were determined in a training set of 463 patients from 2012 to 2014 by X-tile analysis, univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Another cohort of 157 patients in 2015 was validated with bootstrap resampling. The concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves were applied to assess its predictive discriminative and accuracy ability, while decision curve analysis (DCA), X-tile analysis and Kaplan–Meier curve for clinical application.ResultsIndependent prognostic variables for overall survival (OS) were age, GTV, CNV, cranial nerve, positive cervical lymph node laterality below the caudal border of cricoid cartilage (LNBC), and were selected for the nomogram. Optimal prognostic factors including Karnofsky performance status (KPS), age, GTV, CNV, LNBC were incorporated in the nomogram for progression-free survival (PFS). In the training set, the C-index of our nomograms for OS and PFS were 0.755 (95% CI, 0.704 to 0.807) and 0.698 (95% CI, 0.652 to 0.744). The calibration curve showed good agreement between nomogram-predicted and actual survival. DCA indicated that our nomograms were of clinical benefit.ConclusionOur nomograms are capable of effective prognostic prediction for patients with NPC.
ObjectiveLocoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) patients, even at the same stage, have different prognoses. We aim to construct a prognostic nomogram for predicting the overall survival (OS) to identify the high-risk LA-NPC patients.Materials and methodsHistologically diagnosed WHO type II and type III LA-NPC patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were enrolled as the training cohort (n= 421), and LA-NPC patients from Shantou University Medical College Cancer Hospital (SUMCCH) served as the external validation cohort (n= 763). Variables were determined in the training cohort through Cox regression to form a prognostic OS nomogram, which was verified in the validation cohort, and compared with traditional clinical staging using the concordance index (C-index), Kaplan–Meier curves, calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA). Patients with scores higher than the specific cut-off value determined by the nomogram were defined as high-risk patients. Subgroup analyses and high-risk group determinants were explored.ResultsOur nomogram had a higher C-index than the traditional clinical staging method (0.67 vs. 0.60, p<0.001). Good agreement between the nomogram-predicted and actual survival were shown in the calibration curves and DCA, indicating a clinical benefit of the nomogram. High-risk patients identified by our nomogram had worse prognosis than the other groups, with a 5-year overall survival (OS) of 60.4%. Elderly patients at advanced stage and without chemotherapy had a tendency for high risk than the other patients.ConclusionsOur OS predictive nomogram for LA-NPC patients is reliable to identify high-risk patients.
Background
Radiotherapy, as the main treatment method for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), has been innovating over time and no bibliometric study on NPC radiotherapy to date. In the study, the scientific achievements of NPC radiotherapy around the world were evaluated by bibliometric analyses, and the previous research hotspots and future trends were described.
Methods
Original articles related to NPC radiotherapy were obtained from the Web of Science Core Collection. To identify research hotspots and future trends, countries/regions, institutions, journals, references, authors, and keywords were evaluated and visualized by Excel, VOSviewer, and CiteSpace.
Results
From 1959 to 2022, 7139 original articles were collected. The annual publications showed an increasing trend, especially after 2011. Mainland China had the most publications (n = 3719, 52.09%). Sun Yat-sen University has the most publications and citations among institutions. Jun Ma is most productive and SR Baker has the highest co-cited centrality. International Journal of Radiation Oncology-Biology-Physics is the core journal, with most publications, citations and co-citations. Analysis of keywords showed intensity-modulated radiotherapy and chemoradiotherapy were the main keywords, and multicenter was strongest burst.
Conclusion
NPC radiotherapy has attracted increasing attention, and precision and intelligence may be the future trends in this field.
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