Using a sample of Chinese listed firms during 2010–2018, this paper examines the relationship between digital financial inclusion and firms’ ESG disclosure. The results show that 1) digital financial inclusion can significantly promote firms’ ESG disclosure; 2) the promotion effect of digital financial inclusion on firms’ ESG disclosure occurs mainly through channels including the coverage breadth and usage depth; and 3) for firms with higher financing constraints and state-owned enterprises, the promotion effect of digital financial inclusion on firms’ ESG disclosure is more prominent. This paper provides relevant conclusions and insights for promoting firms’ ESG information disclosure, integrating the digital economy, and encouraging innovation development.
It is hard to forecasting oil future prices accurately, which is affected by some nonlinear, nonstationary, and other chaotic characteristics. Then, a novel GA-SVR-GRNN hybrid deep learning algorithm is put forward for forecasting oil future price. First, a genetic algorithm (GA) is employed for optimizing parameters regarding the support vector regression machine (SVR), and the GA-SVR model is used to forecast oil future price. Further, a generalized regression neural network (GRNN) model is built for the residual series for forecasting. Finally, we obtain the predicted values of the oil future price series forecasted by the GA-SVR-GRNN hybrid deep learning algorithm. According to the simulation, the GA-SVR-GRNN hybrid deep learning algorithm achieves lower MSE, RMSE, MAE, and MAPE relative to the GRNN, GA-SVR, and PSO-SVR models, indicating that the proposed GA-SVR-GRNN hybrid deep learning algorithm can fully reveal the prediction advantages of the GA-SVR and GRNN models in the nonlinear space and is a more accurate and effective method for oil future price forecasting.
Accurate prediction of crude oil prices (COPs) is a challenge for academia and industry. Therefore, the present research developed a new CEEMDAN-GA-SVR hybrid model to predict COPs, incorporating complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN), a genetic algorithm (GA), and support vector regression machine (SVR). First, our team utilized CEEMDAN to realize the decomposition of a raw series of COPs into a group of comparatively simpler subseries. Second, SVR was utilized to predict values for every decomposed subseries separately. Owing to the intricate parametric settings of SVR, GA was employed to achieve the parametric optimisation of SVR during forecast. Then, our team assembled the forecasted values of the entire subseries as the forecasted values of the CEEMDAN-GA-SVR model. After a series of experiments and comparison of the results, we discovered that the CEEMDAN-GA-SVR model remarkably outperformed single and ensemble benchmark models, as displayed by a case study finished based on a time series of weekly Brent COPs.
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