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Abstract-In order to anticipate dangerous events, like a collision, an agent needs to make long-term predictions. However, those are challenging due to uncertainties in internal and external variables and environment dynamics. A sensorimotor model is acquired online by the mobile robot using a state-of-the-art method that learns the optical flow distribution in images, both in space and time. The learnt model is used to anticipate the optical flow up to a given time horizon and to predict an imminent collision by using reinforcement learning. We demonstrate that multi-modal predictions reduce to simpler distributions once actions are taken into account.

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Abstract-Gaussian Mixture Models have been widely used in robotic control and in sensory anticipation applications. A mixture model is learnt from demonstrations and later used to infer the most likely control signals, or is also used as a forward model to predict the change in sensory signals over time. However, such models often are too big to be tractable in real-time applications. In this paper we introduce the Context-GMM, a method to learn sparse priors over the mixture components. Such priors are stable over large amounts of time and provide a way of selecting very small subsets of mixture components without significant loss in accuracy and with huge computational savings.