No abstract

The impact of postchallenge glucose on the relationship between insulin sensitivity (SI) and secretion (β) is unknown. We analyzed data from 2,264 health examinees (male/female 1,524/740, median age 54 yrs) with normal glucose tolerance (NGT, n = 1,623), non-diabetic hyperglycemia (NDH, n = 555), or diabetes (DM, n = 86) using OGTT-derived indices of SI (insulin sensitivity index [ISI]-Matsuda, 1/HOMA-IR, and 1/fasting IRI) and β (δIRI0-30/δPG0-30, and Stumvoll 1st [Stumvoll-1] and 2nd [Stumvoll-2] phases). The combination of 1/HOMA-IR and Stumvoll-1 recapitulated the hyperbolic SI-β relationship with the slope of the fitted line -1.000 in NGT subjects, and therefore it was utilized in the following analysis of the SI-β correlation. In multiple regression analysis of the relationship between SI and β, an independent correlation was found for 1 h-plasma glucose (PG; PG60) but not for 2 h-PG. When the NGT subjects were grouped by PG60 quartile (Q), the fitted line was flat in Q1 but progressively steeper from Q2 to Q4, with a slope (95%CI) of -0.663 (-0.726~-0.605), -0.680 (-0.745~-0.622), -0.847 (-0.922~-0.779), and -1.259 (-1.370~-1.158) (P for trend < 0.05). The fitted line steepened further in the NDH and DM groups, with a slope of -1.545 and -1.915, respectively (P < 0.01 for the difference). The intercept of the fitted line for SI-β correlation was also progressively lower across the PG60 Q for NGT, NDH, and DM. In conclusion, using the 1/HOMA-IR-Stumvoll-1 pair for an analysis of the SI-β relationship, elevated PG60 was associated with steepening and downward shifting of the fitted line for the SI-β correlation. The finding suggests impaired beta cell function.

No abstract

Abstract. To develop diabetes risk score (RS) based on the current definition of diabetes, we retrospectively analyzed consecutive 4,159 health examinees who were non-diabetic at baseline. Diabetes, diagnosed by fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥7.0 mmol/L, 2hPG ≥11.1 mmol/L and/or HbA1c ≥6.5% (48 mmol/mol), developed in 279 of them during the mean period of 4.9 years. A full RS (RS Full ), a RS without 2hPG (RS -2hPG ) and a non-invasive RS (RS NI ) were created on the basis of multivariate Cox proportional model by weighted grading based on hazard ratio in half the persons assigned. The RSs were verified in the remaining half of the participants. Positive family history (FH), male sex, smoking and higher age, systolic blood pressure (SBP), FPG, 2hPG and HbA1c were independent predictors for RS Full . For RS -2hPG , 7 independent predictors, exclusive of 2hPG and smoking but inclusive of elevated triglycerides (TG) comparing to RS Full , were selected. FH, male sex, and higher age, SBP and HbA1c were independent predictors in RS NI . In the validation cohort, C-statistic (95%CI) of RS Full , RS -2hPG and RS NI were 0.80 (0.76-0.84), 0.75 (0.70-0.78) and 0.68 (0.63-0.72), respectively, which were significantly different from each other (P <0.01). Absolute percentage difference between predicted probability and observed diabetes were 1.9%, 0.7% and 0.9%, by the three scores, respectively, and not significantly different from each other. In conclusion, diabetes defined by the current criteria was predicted by the new diabetes risk scores with reasonable accuracy. Nonetheless, RS Full with a postchallenge glucose value performed superior to RS -2hPG and RS NI .