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The lack of protocols to predict the physical stability has been one of the most important issues in the use of amorphous solid dispersions. In this paper, the crystallization behaviors of pharmaceutical glasses, which have large variations in their crystallization tendencies, have been investigated. Although each compound appears to have a wide variation in their crystallization time, the initiation time for crystallization could be generalized as a function of only Tg/T, where Tg and T are the glass transition temperature and storage temperature, respectively. All compounds in which crystallization was mainly governed by temperature had similar activation energies for crystallization initiation, ca. 210-250 kJ/mol, indicating that physical stability at any temperature is predictable from only Tg. Increased stability is expected for other compounds, where crystallization is inhibited by an large energetic barrier, and stochastic nucleation plays an important role in initiating crystallization. The difference in the dominant factor, either temperature or pressure, appeared to correlate with the nucleation mechanism, and this could be determined by a cool-heat cycle after melting using thermal analysis. This conclusion should make prediction of physical stability of amorphous formulations easier, although the investigation was conducted under ideal conditions, which eliminated surface effects.

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Fragility is a measure of the departure from non-Arrhenius behavior for supercooled liquids and glasses, and various simple methods are available for its quantification. However, the obtained values usually do not agree with each other. One of the purposes of this study was to compare the fragility values obtained by different methodologies. Thermodynamic fragility (FT) is a simple concept that is evaluated from the heat capacity change at the glass transition temperature (Tg). Dynamic fragility is evaluated using three methodologies in this study: extrapolation of the configurational entropy (Sc) to the Kauzmann temperature (Tk) (FDC), ramp-rate dependence of Tg (FDTg), and that of the fictive temperature (Tf) (FDTf). FT and FDC of 19 pharmaceutical compounds were correlated, whereas FDTg and FDTf did not correlate with either of them. This result seems reasonable because both FT and FDC are calculated from thermodynamic parameters in the quasi-equilibrium state, but FDTg and FDTf are likely affected by kinetics as well. Another goal of this study was to find the correlation between the glass-forming ability (GFA) and fragility. FDTg was shown to correlate with GFA, presumably because both were determined on the balance of thermodynamic and kinetic factors. This correlation suggests that fragile glass has low GFA. Furthermore, the relevance of fragility to isothermal crystallization is discussed. Compounds with small FDTg and FDTf tended to exhibit pressure-controlled crystallization, for which better storage stability can be expected relative to temperature-controlled compounds. Fragility was shown to be a useful parameter practically as well as scientifically.

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