Background & Aims
Fibrosis is the strongest predictor for long‐term clinical outcomes among patients with non‐alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). There is growing interest in employing non‐invasive methods for risk stratification based on prognosis. FIB‐4, NFS and APRI are models commonly used for detecting fibrosis among NAFLD patients. We aimed to synthesize existing literature on the ability of these models in prognosticating NAFLD‐related events.
Methods
A sensitive search was conducted in two medical databases to retrieve studies evaluating the prognostic accuracy of FIB‐4, NFS and APRI among NAFLD patients. Target events were change in fibrosis, liver‐related event and mortality. Two reviewers independently performed reference screening, data extraction and quality assessment (QUAPAS tool).
Results
A total of 13 studies (FIB‐4:12, NFS: 11, APRI: 10), published between 2013 and 2019, were retrieved. All studies were conducted in a secondary or tertiary care setting, with follow‐up ranging from 1 to 20 years. All three markers showed consistently good prognostication of liver‐related events (AUC from 0.69 to 0.92). For mortality, FIB‐4 (AUC of 0.67‐0.82) and NFS (AUC of 0.70‐0.83) outperformed APRI (AUC of 0.52‐0.73) in all studies. All markers had inconsistent performance for predicting change in fibrosis stage.
Conclusions
FIB‐4, NFS, and APRI have demonstrated ability to risk stratify patients for liver‐related morbidity and mortality, with comparable performance to a liver biopsy, although more head‐to‐head studies are needed to validate this. More refined models to prognosticate NAFLD‐events may further enhance performance and clinical utility of non‐invasive markers.
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Although financial incentives are considered an important element in strategies to change prescribing patterns, limited evidence of their effects can be found. Effects of policies, including pay for performance policies, in improving quality of care and health outcomes remain uncertain. Because pharmaceutical policies have uncertain effects, and because they might cause harm as well as benefit, proper evaluation of these policies is needed. Future studies should consider the impact of these policies on health outcomes, drug use and overall healthcare expenditures, as well as on drug expenditures.
Introduction Association between elevated cytokeratin 18 (CK-18) levels and hepatocyte death has made circulating CK-18 a candidate biomarker to differentiate non-alcoholic fatty liver from non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Yet studies produced variable diagnostic performance. We aimed to provide summary estimates with increased precision for the accuracy of CK-18 (M30, M65) in detecting NASH and fibrosis among non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) adults. Methods We searched five databases to retrieve studies evaluating CK-18 against a liver biopsy in NAFLD adults. Reference screening, data extraction and quality assessment (QUADAS-2) were independently conducted by two authors. Meta-analyses were performed for five groups based on the CK-18 antigens and target conditions, using one of two methods: linear mixed-effects multiple thresholds model or bivariate logit-normal random-effects model. Results We included 41 studies, with data on 5,815 participants. A wide range of disease prevalence was observed. No study reported a pre-defined cutoff. Thirty of 41 studies provided sufficient data for inclusion in any of the meta-analyses.
Costs were com pared by m easuring tim e spent on training and extra tim e needed f or screening m onitoring and intervening in the intervention group; m aterials used, such as diagnostic tests f or inf ection and supplem ents, in control and intervention group; and num ber of in-hospital days f or both groups. No discounting has been perf orm ed, as the study duration is less than one year. No price year was m entioned. xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 5 Nutritional screening for improving professional practice for patient outcomes in hospital and primary care settings (Review)
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